IU INDIANAPOLIS
JAGUARSIUIN
4-11 | Road
72
NORTHERN KENTUCKY
NORSENKU
10-5 | Home
81
AI Model Win Probability
JAGUARS
0%
NORSE
100%
JAGUARS
--
NORSE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-37.0
IU INDIANAPOLIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +37.0 points (IU Indianapolis)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around IUIN -37.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IUIN)
IUIN By 1-7 points
0.1%
IUIN By 8-14 points
1.1%
NKU By 1-7 points
0.0%
NKU By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
IU Indianapolis
88
IU INDIANAPOLIS
Northern Kentucky
51
NORTHERN KENTUCKY
Simulated Score
IU Indianapolis
68
IU INDIANAPOLIS
Northern Kentucky
76
NORTHERN KENTUCKY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Jaguars
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Norse
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Jaguars (-14.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -37.0
D
Sim
Norse (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u176.5
Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim
u176.5
Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 12, 2026
NKU @ IUIN
84 - 81
Jan 1, 2026
IUIN @ NKU
72 - 81
Feb 23, 2025
IUIN @ NKU
67 - 71
Dec 7, 2024
NKU @ IUIN
66 - 64
Feb 25, 2024
IUIN @ NKU
64 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+36.0% more
IU Indianapolis: 21.1
vs
Northern Kentucky: 13.5
Blocks (L5)
+29.3% more
IU Indianapolis: 4.0
vs
Northern Kentucky: 2.8
Turnovers (L5)
+18.3% more
Northern Kentucky: 13.0
vs
IU Indianapolis: 11.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.4%
Northern Kentucky: 76.5%
vs
IU Indianapolis: 69.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
IUIN Score
88.0
72
NKU Score
51.0
81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.3 / 27.0
48.0 / 32.0
Assists
13.5 / 21.1
14.0 / 13.0
Blocks
2.8 / 4.0
0.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
47.4 / 45.2
49.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
76.5 / 69.1
60.0 / 100.0
Rebounding
33.2 / 32.4
29.0 / 34.0
Steals
9.7 / 10.0
9.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
13.0 / 11.0
11.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IUIN
--
NKU
Advantage
20-14-0
(58.8%)
Margin: 5.7
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IUIN
--
NKU
Advantage
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: 5.7
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
IUIN
--
NKU
21-10-0
O: 67.7% / U: 32.3%
Total +/-: +5.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NKU
IUIN
NKU
IUIN
ML
53%
18-16
69%
22-10
65%
22-12
78%
25-7
ATS
56%
19-15
66%
21-11
65%
22-12
78%
25-7
TTL
68%
23-11
50%
16-16
100%
34-0
100%
32-0
Contextual Game News
