PORTLAND STATE
VIKINGSPRST
6-5 | Road
95
WEBER STATE
WILDCATSWEB
6-7 | Home
90
AI Model Win Probability
VIKINGS
100%
WILDCATS
0%
VIKINGS
--
WILDCATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
152.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
WEBER STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Weber State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WEB -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WEB)
PRST By 1-7 points
5.8%
PRST By 8-14 points
1.4%
WEB By 1-7 points
16.9%
WEB By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Portland State
69
PORTLAND STATE
Weber State
83
WEBER STATE
Simulated Score
Portland State
69
PORTLAND STATE
Weber State
78
WEBER STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Wildcats
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wildcats
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Wildcats (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim
Wildcats (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o148.5
Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Sim
u148.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 2, 2026
WEB @ PRST
60 - 84
Jan 1, 2026
PRST @ WEB
95 - 90
Feb 22, 2025
PRST @ WEB
58 - 60
Jan 23, 2025
WEB @ PRST
56 - 74
Feb 8, 2024
PRST @ WEB
72 - 84
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+8.7% more
Weber State: 9.3
vs
Portland State: 8.5
Assists (L5)
+8.3% more
Weber State: 16.1
vs
Portland State: 14.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.9%
Weber State: 72.3%
vs
Portland State: 64.4%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.3%
Weber State: 36.7%
vs
Portland State: 29.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PRST Score
69.0
95
WEB Score
83.0
90
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.7 / 29.4
27.0 / 43.0
Assists
16.1 / 14.9
17.0 / 17.0
Blocks
1.6 / 5.2
4.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
51.5 / 45.1
40.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
72.3 / 64.4
69.0 / 66.0
Rebounding
36.5 / 36.0
46.0 / 51.0
Steals
9.3 / 8.5
6.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
11.9 / 12.1
10.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PRST
Advantage
20-11-0
(64.5%)
Margin: 6.4
ATS +/-: +0.8
WEB
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PRST
Advantage
18-9-1
(66.7%)
Margin: 6.4
ATS +/-: +0.8
WEB
16-14-0
(53.3%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
PRST
12-16-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1%
Total +/-: -0.9
WEB
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +3.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WEB
PRST
WEB
PRST
ML
73%
22-8
65%
20-11
73%
22-8
71%
22-9
ATS
63%
19-11
71%
22-9
74%
23-8
71%
22-9
TTL
83%
25-5
47%
14-16-1
100%
31-0
100%
31-0
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