MONTREAL
CANADIENSMTL
21-12-6 | Road
7
CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
24-12-3 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jakub Dobes
#75 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Brandon Bussi
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakub Dobes | None-None | 5.00 | 0.800 | -- |
| Brandon Bussi | None-None | 6.17 | 0.727 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
5.00 Ldr
GAA
6.17
0.800 Ldr
Save %
0.727
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
CANADIENS
0%
HURRICANES
100%
CANADIENS
--
HURRICANES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
MONTREAL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Montreal)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around MTL -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MTL)
MTL By 1 goal
17.5%
MTL By 2-3 goals
37.2%
CAR By 1 goal
6.6%
CAR By 2-3 goals
3.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Montreal
4
MONTREAL
Carolina
2
CAROLINA
Simulated Score
Montreal
2
MONTREAL
Carolina
4
CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Canadiens
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hurricanes
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Canadiens (-1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim
Hurricanes (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 6, 2026
CAR @ MTL
6 - 4
May 29, 2026
MTL @ CAR
1 - 6
May 27, 2026
CAR @ MTL
4 - 0
May 25, 2026
CAR @ MTL
3 - 2
May 23, 2026
MTL @ CAR
2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+26.3% more
Montreal: 15.8
vs
Carolina: 11.6
Faceoff % (L5)
+3.1%
Montreal: 54.3%
vs
Carolina: 51.1%
Hits (L5)
+9.7% more
Carolina: 22.7
vs
Montreal: 20.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MTL Score
4.0
7
CAR Score
2.0
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
11.6 / 15.8
10.0 / 15.0
Faceoff %
51.1 / 54.3
55.6 / 44.4
Hits
22.7 / 20.7
18.0 / 26.0
Power Play %
13.9 / 14.8
66.7 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
30.5 / 29.6
25.0 / 23.0
Takeaways
5.4 / 5.8
9.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAR
MTL
CAR
MTL
ML
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
ATS
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
100%
4-0
100%
3-0
TTL
0%
0-4
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
Contextual Game News
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