UTAH
MAMMOTHUTA
18-19-3 | Road
7
NEW YORK
ISLANDERSNYI
22-14-4 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Karel Vejmelka
#70 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Marcus Hogberg
#50 | G| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karel Vejmelka | None-None | 2.00 | 0.909 | -- |
| Marcus Hogberg | None-None | 8.90 | 0.714 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.00 Ldr
GAA
8.90
0.909 Ldr
Save %
0.714
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
MAMMOTH
0%
ISLANDERS
100%
MAMMOTH
--
ISLANDERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around NYI +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYI)
UTA By 1 goal
19.7%
UTA By 2-3 goals
29.6%
NYI By 1 goal
12.1%
NYI By 2-3 goals
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Utah
3
UTAH
New York
2
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Utah
2
UTAH
New York
4
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Mammoth
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Islanders
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Islanders (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim
Islanders (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 1, 2026
UTA @ NYI
7 - 2
Nov 14, 2025
NYI @ UTA
3 - 2
Jan 11, 2025
NYI @ UTA
2 - 1
Oct 10, 2024
UTA @ NYI
5 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+17.2% more
Utah: 28.7
vs
New York: 23.8
Takeaways (L5)
+84.1% more
New York: 6.0
vs
Utah: 3.3
Hits (L5)
+26.9% more
New York: 21.5
vs
Utah: 17.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTA Score
3.0
7
NYI Score
2.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.6 / 15.7
13.0 / 14.0
Faceoff %
50.9 / 51.6
51.0 / 49.0
Hits
21.5 / 17.0
13.0 / 16.0
Power Play %
14.0 / 12.9
20.0 / 40.0
Shots on Goal
23.8 / 28.7
22.0 / 21.0
Takeaways
6.0 / 3.3
6.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYI
UTA
NYI
UTA
ML
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
ATS
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
TTL
100%
2-0-1
75%
3-1
100%
2-0-1
75%
3-1
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