Home / NFL Projections NFL / Cardinals @ Rams ARI @ LAR

ARIZONA

CARDINALSARI

3-13  |  Road

20
FINAL
Sun, Jan 4 • 4:25 PM ET
SoFi Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

RAMSLAR

11-5  |  Home

37
AI Model Win Probability
CARDINALS
100%
📊
RAMS
0%
CARDINALS --
RAMS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
54.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Los Angeles)
CardinalsARI (-3.5) 0 RamsLAR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cardinals Cover

15.9%

Rams Cover

84.1%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around LAR -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAR)

ARI By 1-6 points

7.9%

ARI By 7-13 points

4.7%

LAR By 1-6 points

12.9%

LAR By 7-13 points

19.0%

AI Model Projected Score
20
ARIZONA
34
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
24
ARIZONA
17
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Rams Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cardinals Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Rams (+14.5) Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim Cardinals (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o49.5 Win
Proj Total: 54.0
D
Sim u49.5 Win
Proj Total: 41.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 4, 2026 ARI @ LAR 20 - 37
Dec 7, 2025 LAR @ ARI 45 - 17
Dec 28, 2024 ARI @ LAR 9 - 13
Sep 15, 2024 LAR @ ARI 10 - 41
Nov 26, 2023 LAR @ ARI 37 - 14
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +121.3% more
Los Angeles: 161.6 vs Arizona: 73.0
Yards Per Play (L5) +30.2% more
Los Angeles: 7.0 vs Arizona: 5.4
Total Yards (L5) +26.1% more
Los Angeles: 445.9 vs Arizona: 353.6
First Downs (L5) +25.7% more
Los Angeles: 26.2 vs Arizona: 20.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ARI Score 20.0 20
LAR Score 34.0 37
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
7%TICKETS93%
49%MONEY51%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
45%MONEY55%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
74%MONEY26%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ARI
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: -7.5 ATS +/-: -2.8
LAR Advantage
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ARI
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -7.5 ATS +/-: -2.8
LAR
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.5
⚖️ Over/Under
ARI
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +5.8
LAR
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAR
ARI
LAR
ARI
ML
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
ATS
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
TTL
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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