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DALLAS

COWBOYSDAL

7-8-1  |  Road

17
FINAL
Sun, Jan 4 • 1:00 PM ET
MetLife Stadium
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

GIANTSNYG

3-13  |  Home

34
AI Model Win Probability
COWBOYS
100%
📊
GIANTS
0%
COWBOYS --
GIANTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
63.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (New York)
CowboysDAL (-3.5) 0 GiantsNYG (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cowboys Cover

47.2%

Giants Cover

52.8%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around NYG -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYG)

DAL By 1-6 points

16.1%

DAL By 7-13 points

14.6%

NYG By 1-6 points

16.7%

NYG By 7-13 points

16.1%

AI Model Projected Score
31
DALLAS
32
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
27
DALLAS
20
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Giants Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cowboys Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Giants (+3) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Cowboys (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o49.5 Win
Proj Total: 63.0
D
Sim u49.5 Win
Proj Total: 47.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 13, 2026 DAL @ NYG 20 - 28
Jan 4, 2026 DAL @ NYG 17 - 34
Sep 14, 2025 NYG @ DAL 37 - 40
Nov 28, 2024 NYG @ DAL 20 - 27
Sep 26, 2024 DAL @ NYG 20 - 15
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +9.0% more
New York: 124.2 vs Dallas: 114.0
Turnovers (L5) +44.8% more
Dallas: 1.9 vs New York: 1.1
Net Passing Yards (L5) +26.6% more
Dallas: 304.6 vs New York: 223.6
First Downs (L5) +18.6% more
Dallas: 23.9 vs New York: 19.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DAL Score 31.0 17
NYG Score 32.0 34
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
79%TICKETS21%
68%MONEY32%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
68%MONEY32%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
60%MONEY40%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DAL
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: +2.3
NYG Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: +3.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DAL
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: +2.3
NYG
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: +3.1
⚖️ Over/Under
DAL
4-0-0
O: 100.0% / U: 0.0% Total +/-: +8.0
NYG
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -3.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYG
DAL
NYG
DAL
ML
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
100% 4-0
50% 2-2
ATS
100% 4-0
67% 2-1-1
100% 4-0
100% 3-0-1
TTL
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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