Home / NFL Projections NFL / Seahawks @ 49ers SEA @ SF

SEATTLE

SEAHAWKSSEA

13-3  |  Road

13
FINAL
Sat, Jan 3 • 8:00 PM ET
Levi's Stadium
View Odds Details →

SAN FRANCISCO

49ERSSF

12-4  |  Home

3
AI Model Win Probability
SEAHAWKS
0%
📊
49ERS
100%
SEAHAWKS --
49ERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
48.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Seattle)
SeahawksSEA (-3.5) 0 49ersSF (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Seahawks Cover

71.6%

49ers Cover

28.4%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around SEA -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)

SEA By 1-6 points

16.1%

SEA By 7-13 points

19.5%

SF By 1-6 points

12.2%

SF By 7-13 points

8.8%

AI Model Projected Score
28
SEATTLE
20
SAN FRANCISCO
Simulated Score
20
SEATTLE
27
SAN FRANCISCO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Seahawks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim 49ers Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Seahawks (+2.5) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim 49ers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o47.5 Loss
Proj Total: 48.0
D
Sim u47.5 Win
Proj Total: 47.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 17, 2026 SF @ SEA 6 - 41
Jan 3, 2026 SEA @ SF 13 - 3
Sep 7, 2025 SF @ SEA 17 - 13
Nov 17, 2024 SEA @ SF 20 - 17
Oct 10, 2024 SF @ SEA 36 - 24
Key Model Drivers
Yards Per Play (L5) +13.1% more
Seattle: 5.7 vs San Francisco: 4.9
Net Passing Yards (L5) +12.4% more
Seattle: 228.1 vs San Francisco: 199.8
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +19.0% more
San Francisco: 0.5 vs Seattle: 0.3
First Downs (L5) +17.7% more
San Francisco: 21.5 vs Seattle: 18.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SEA Score 28.0 13
SF Score 20.0 3
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
40%MONEY60%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
38%TICKETS62%
49%MONEY51%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
75%MONEY25%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +2.3
SF Advantage
4-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 14.5 ATS +/-: +9.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
1-1-2 (50.0%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +2.3
SF Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 14.5 ATS +/-: +9.5
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +2.0
SF
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SF
SEA
SF
SEA
ML
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
ATS
25% 1-3
50% 1-1-2
25% 1-3
50% 1-1-2
TTL
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Bengals Defender Exposes Malik Willis's Pre-Throw Tic Before Dol…
bleacherreport 0 minutes ago
Rams' Special Teams Crisis: A 2026 Season Breakdown and How to F…
si 5 hours, 44 minutes ago
Chris Durr Jr. Lands on 2026 Biletnikoff Award Watch List After …
si 5 hours, 47 minutes ago
Sean Payton Steps In: Broncos Shake Up Offense After Four Weeks
sportingnews 5 hours, 55 minutes ago
Ronald Acuña Jr. Gets Emotional After Braves' Postseason Exit, E…
ajc 17 hours, 52 minutes ago