Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Greyhounds @ Eagles L-MD @ AMER

LOYOLA MARYLAND

GREYHOUNDSL-MD

4-9  |  Road

69
FINAL
Wed, Dec 31 • 1:00 PM ET
Bender Arena
View Odds Details →

AMERICAN UNIVERSITY

EAGLESAMER

7-6  |  Home

84
AI Model Win Probability
GREYHOUNDS
0%
📊
EAGLES
100%
GREYHOUNDS --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
169.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
LOYOLA MARYLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Loyola Maryland)
GreyhoundsL-MD (-3.5) 0 EaglesAMER (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Greyhounds Cover

90.3%

Eagles Cover

9.7%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around L-MD -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (L-MD)

L-MD By 1-7 points

18.6%

L-MD By 8-14 points

26.8%

AMER By 1-7 points

6.8%

AMER By 8-14 points

1.7%

AI Model Projected Score
91
LOYOLA MARYLAND
78
AMERICAN UNIVERSITY
Simulated Score
65
LOYOLA MARYLAND
68
AMERICAN UNIVERSITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Greyhounds Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Eagles Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Greyhounds (-10.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim Eagles (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o154.5 Loss
Proj Total: 169.0
D
Sim u154.5 Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 28, 2026 AMER @ L-MD 68 - 77
Dec 31, 2025 L-MD @ AMER 69 - 84
Feb 15, 2025 L-MD @ AMER 51 - 72
Jan 13, 2025 AMER @ L-MD 73 - 54
Feb 7, 2024 L-MD @ AMER 44 - 43
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +62.6% more
Loyola Maryland: 3.4 vs American University: 1.3
Assists (L5) +22.8% more
Loyola Maryland: 16.5 vs American University: 12.7
Turnovers (L5) +20.5% more
Loyola Maryland: 12.3 vs American University: 9.8
Rebounding (L5) +16.0% more
Loyola Maryland: 33.1 vs American University: 27.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
L-MD Score 91.0 69
AMER Score 78.0 84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.9 / 36.9 44.0 / 39.0
Assists 12.7 / 16.5 20.0 / 13.0
Blocks 1.3 / 3.4 2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 39.7 / 43.0 59.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 79.8 / 69.1 67.0 / 86.0
Rebounding 27.8 / 33.1 23.0 / 32.0
Steals 8.0 / 6.8 12.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 9.8 / 12.3 9.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
10%MONEY90%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
32%MONEY68%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
33%MONEY67%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
L-MD
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -1.8 ATS +/-: -0.5
AMER Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.3 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
L-MD
15-14-1 (51.7%)
Margin: -1.8 ATS +/-: -0.5
AMER Advantage
16-14-0 (53.3%)
Margin: 3.3 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
L-MD
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3% Total +/-: +4.5
AMER
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
AMER
L-MD
AMER
L-MD
ML
62% 20-12
53% 17-15
62% 20-12
66% 21-11
ATS
59% 19-13
56% 18-14
62% 20-12
66% 21-11
TTL
59% 19-13
44% 14-18
100% 32-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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