COLGATE
RAIDERSCOLG
6-7 | Road
85
LAFAYETTE
LEOPARDSLAF
3-10 | Home
77
AI Model Win Probability
RAIDERS
0%
LEOPARDS
100%
RAIDERS
--
LEOPARDS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
186.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-70.0
COLGATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +70.0 points (Colgate)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around COLG -70.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COLG)
COLG By 1-7 points
0.0%
COLG By 8-14 points
0.0%
LAF By 1-7 points
0.0%
LAF By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Colgate
128
COLGATE
Lafayette
58
LAFAYETTE
Simulated Score
Colgate
73
COLGATE
Lafayette
67
LAFAYETTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Raiders
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Raiders
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Raiders (+6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -70.0
D
Sim
Raiders (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o146.5
Win
Proj Total: 186.0
D
Sim
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 25, 2026
LAF @ COLG
70 - 69
Dec 31, 2025
COLG @ LAF
85 - 77
Feb 1, 2025
LAF @ COLG
76 - 61
Jan 18, 2025
COLG @ LAF
90 - 67
Feb 19, 2024
COLG @ LAF
67 - 62
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+54.4% more
Colgate: 3.4
vs
Lafayette: 1.6
Steals (L5)
+34.5% more
Colgate: 7.1
vs
Lafayette: 4.6
Assists (L5)
+16.0% more
Colgate: 17.3
vs
Lafayette: 14.5
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.5%
Colgate: 47.9%
vs
Lafayette: 43.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COLG Score
128.0
85
LAF Score
58.0
77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.0 / 37.9
30.0 / 33.0
Assists
14.5 / 17.3
12.0 / 13.0
Blocks
1.6 / 3.4
1.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
43.4 / 47.9
48.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
72.2 / 65.0
68.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
31.5 / 32.2
33.0 / 36.0
Steals
4.6 / 7.1
5.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
10.4 / 11.0
12.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COLG
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: -1.5
LAF
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -5.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COLG
12-19-0
(38.7%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: -1.5
LAF
Advantage
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -5.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
⚖️ Over/Under
COLG
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +4.9
LAF
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAF
COLG
LAF
COLG
ML
53%
17-15
59%
19-13
59%
19-13
69%
22-10
ATS
56%
18-14
72%
23-9
59%
19-13
70%
23-10
TTL
50%
16-16
78%
25-7
100%
32-0
100%
33-0
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