NEW ORLEANS
PELICANSNO
8-26 | Road
118
CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
15-17 | Home
134
AI Model Win Probability
PELICANS
0%
BULLS
100%
PELICANS
--
BULLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
259.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
NEW ORLEANS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (New Orleans)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NO -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NO)
NO By 1-7 points
26.2%
NO By 8-14 points
25.3%
CHI By 1-7 points
15.3%
CHI By 8-14 points
5.8%
AI Model Projected Score
New Orleans
133
NEW ORLEANS
Chicago
126
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
New Orleans
113
NEW ORLEANS
Chicago
118
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Pelicans
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulls
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Pelicans (-2)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim
Bulls (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o248.5
Win
Proj Total: 259.0
D
Sim
u248.5
Win
Proj Total: 231.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 31, 2025
NO @ CHI
118 - 134
Dec 14, 2025
NO @ CHI
114 - 104
Nov 24, 2025
CHI @ NO
130 - 143
Jan 14, 2025
NO @ CHI
119 - 113
Oct 23, 2024
CHI @ NO
111 - 123
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+43.5% more
New Orleans: 8.7
vs
Chicago: 4.9
Blocks (L5)
+9.9% more
New Orleans: 5.4
vs
Chicago: 4.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.0%
New Orleans: 81.8%
vs
Chicago: 78.8%
Assists (L5)
+23.4% more
Chicago: 29.3
vs
New Orleans: 23.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NO Score
133.0
118
CHI Score
126.0
134
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.0 / 33.5
35.0 / 32.0
Assists
29.3 / 23.8
33.0 / 25.0
Blocks
4.9 / 5.4
7.0 / 9.0
Field Goal %
44.9 / 45.9
51.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
78.8 / 81.8
74.0 / 81.0
Rebounding
46.5 / 45.6
49.0 / 46.0
Steals
4.9 / 8.7
5.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
15.0 / 13.0
9.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NO
26-56-0
(31.7%)
Margin: -4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
CHI
Advantage
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NO
Advantage
45-36-1
(55.6%)
Margin: -4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
CHI
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
NO
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.7
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
NO
CHI
NO
ML
56%
54-42
62%
98-61
57%
46-35
58%
48-35
ATS
65%
62-33-1
68%
107-51-1
57%
46-35
58%
48-35
TTL
58%
56-40
75%
119-40
100%
81-0
100%
83-0
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