Home / NBA Projections NBA / Warriors @ Hornets GS @ CHA

GOLDEN STATE

WARRIORSGS

17-16  |  Road

132
FINAL
Wed, Dec 31 • 1:00 PM ET
Spectrum Center
View Odds Details →

CHARLOTTE

HORNETSCHA

11-21  |  Home

125
AI Model Win Probability
WARRIORS
0%
📊
HORNETS
100%
WARRIORS --
HORNETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
253.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
GOLDEN STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Golden State)
WarriorsGS (-3.5) 0 HornetsCHA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Warriors Cover

81.6%

Hornets Cover

18.4%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around GS -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GS)

GS By 1-7 points

24.3%

GS By 8-14 points

26.8%

CHA By 1-7 points

12.2%

CHA By 8-14 points

4.0%

AI Model Projected Score
131
GOLDEN STATE
122
CHARLOTTE
Simulated Score
108
GOLDEN STATE
121
CHARLOTTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Warriors Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hornets Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Warriors (+7.5) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim Hornets (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o235.0 Win
Proj Total: 253.0
D
Sim u235.0 Win
Proj Total: 229.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 17, 2026 CHA @ GS 116 - 136
Dec 31, 2025 GS @ CHA 132 - 125
Mar 3, 2025 GS @ CHA 119 - 101
Feb 25, 2025 CHA @ GS 92 - 128
Mar 29, 2024 GS @ CHA 115 - 97
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +41.1% more
Golden State: 9.7 vs Charlotte: 5.7
Blocks (L5) +21.1% more
Golden State: 5.8 vs Charlotte: 4.6
Turnovers (L5) +11.8% more
Golden State: 15.9 vs Charlotte: 14.0
Free Throw % (L5) +6.9%
Golden State: 83.5% vs Charlotte: 76.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
GS Score 131.0 132
CHA Score 122.0 125
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 41.6 / 32.3 40.0 / 49.0
Assists 27.9 / 28.0 35.0 / 35.0
Blocks 4.6 / 5.8 1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 44.8 / 48.2 52.0 / 55.0
Free Throw % 76.6 / 83.5 76.0 / 94.0
Rebounding 47.7 / 43.9 37.0 / 37.0
Steals 5.7 / 9.7 11.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 14.0 / 15.9 15.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
83%TICKETS17%
58%MONEY42%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
49%MONEY51%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
41%MONEY59%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GS
38-46-0 (45.2%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-: -2.0
CHA Advantage
45-39-0 (53.6%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +4.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GS
36-48-0 (42.9%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-: -2.0
CHA Advantage
50-34-0 (59.5%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +4.4
⚖️ Over/Under
GS
49-35-0
O: 58.3% / U: 41.7% Total +/-: +1.9
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9% Total +/-: -3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHA
GS
CHA
GS
ML
61% 60-39
55% 95-79
48% 40-44
58% 49-35
ATS
60% 59-40
58% 101-73
48% 40-44
58% 49-35
TTL
58% 57-42
77% 134-40
100% 84-0
100% 84-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Tyler Kolek's Girlfriend Spills: Knicks Parade Police Mix-Up Hap…
nypost 30 minutes ago
Matt Barnes: Clippers Are Cursed, Urges Steve Ballmer to Rebrand
tmz 46 minutes ago
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
yahoo 54 minutes ago
Bill Self's Revamped Kansas Roster Built for Another National Ti…
si 6 hours, 34 minutes ago
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Declares Himself NBA's Best Player, Shru…
bleacherreport 6 hours, 42 minutes ago