ORLANDO
MAGICORL
18-15 | Road
112
INDIANA
PACERSIND
6-27 | Home
110
AI Model Win Probability
MAGIC
100%
PACERS
0%
MAGIC
--
PACERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
223.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
INDIANA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Indiana)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around IND -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IND)
ORL By 1-7 points
24.3%
ORL By 8-14 points
13.7%
IND By 1-7 points
26.2%
IND By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Orlando
111
ORLANDO
Indiana
112
INDIANA
Simulated Score
Orlando
113
ORLANDO
Indiana
118
INDIANA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Pacers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pacers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Pacers (+4)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Pacers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u225.5
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Sim
u225.5
Win
Proj Total: 231.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 23, 2026
IND @ ORL
128 - 126
Jan 4, 2026
IND @ ORL
127 - 135
Dec 31, 2025
ORL @ IND
112 - 110
Apr 11, 2025
ORL @ IND
129 - 115
Nov 13, 2024
IND @ ORL
90 - 94
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+50.2% more
Indiana: 14.5
vs
Orlando: 9.7
Steals (L5)
+22.0% more
Indiana: 8.1
vs
Orlando: 6.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.3%
Indiana: 39.3%
vs
Orlando: 32.0%
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.8%
Indiana: 47.2%
vs
Orlando: 44.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ORL Score
111.0
112
IND Score
112.0
110
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.3 / 32.0
34.0 / 14.0
Assists
27.4 / 26.5
22.0 / 28.0
Blocks
3.8 / 4.4
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
47.2 / 44.4
43.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
72.5 / 79.3
81.0 / 82.0
Rebounding
37.0 / 44.4
39.0 / 49.0
Steals
8.1 / 6.7
10.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
14.5 / 9.7
16.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORL
Advantage
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
IND
19-63-0
(23.2%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORL
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
IND
Advantage
40-42-0
(48.8%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
IND
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IND
ORL
IND
ORL
ML
48%
47-50
61%
65-42
54%
45-38
56%
51-40
ATS
59%
57-40
64%
68-38-1
54%
45-38
56%
51-40
TTL
54%
52-45
57%
61-46
100%
83-0
100%
91-0
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