AI Model Win Probability
HIGHLANDERS
100%
QUAKERS
0%
HIGHLANDERS
--
QUAKERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
111.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
PENNSYLVANIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Pennsylvania)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PENN -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PENN)
NJIT By 1-7 points
15.3%
NJIT By 8-14 points
5.8%
PENN By 1-7 points
26.2%
PENN By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
NJIT
52
NJIT
Pennsylvania
59
PENNSYLVANIA
Simulated Score
NJIT
68
NJIT
Pennsylvania
75
PENNSYLVANIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Quakers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Quakers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Quakers (+14.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim
Quakers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 111.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 31, 2025
NJIT @ PENN
61 - 80
Nov 4, 2024
PENN @ NJIT
58 - 57
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+62.1% more
Pennsylvania: 16.1
vs
NJIT: 9.9
Blocks (L5)
+50.0% more
Pennsylvania: 4.4
vs
NJIT: 2.9
Steals (L5)
+33.9% more
Pennsylvania: 4.5
vs
NJIT: 3.4
Rebounding (L5)
+17.0% more
Pennsylvania: 34.8
vs
NJIT: 29.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NJIT Score
52.0
61
PENN Score
59.0
80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.4 / 26.9
39.0 / 25.0
Assists
16.1 / 9.9
16.0 / 9.0
Blocks
4.4 / 2.9
1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
44.4 / 36.7
47.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
60.0 / 61.2
58.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
34.8 / 29.7
38.0 / 35.0
Steals
4.5 / 3.4
10.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
10.7 / 13.7
11.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NJIT
Advantage
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: +1.2
PENN
--
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NJIT
Advantage
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: +1.2
PENN
--
⚖️ Over/Under
NJIT
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3%
Total +/-: -2.5
PENN
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PENN
NJIT
PENN
NJIT
ML
53%
16-14
78%
25-7
76%
22-7
62%
20-12
ATS
63%
19-11
72%
23-9
76%
22-7
62%
20-12
TTL
70%
21-9
47%
15-17
100%
29-0
100%
32-0