Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Huskies @ Aggies NE @ NCAT

NORTHEASTERN

HUSKIESNE

4-8  |  Road

85
FINAL
Wed, Dec 31 • 3:00 PM ET
Corbett Sports Center
View Odds Details →

NORTH CAROLINA A&T

AGGIESNCAT

7-5  |  Home

74
AI Model Win Probability
HUSKIES
100%
📊
AGGIES
0%
HUSKIES --
AGGIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
135.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
NORTH CAROLINA A&T
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (North Carolina A&T)
HuskiesNE (-3.5) 0 AggiesNCAT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Huskies Cover

18.4%

Aggies Cover

81.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NCAT -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NCAT)

NE By 1-7 points

12.2%

NE By 8-14 points

4.0%

NCAT By 1-7 points

24.3%

NCAT By 8-14 points

26.8%

AI Model Projected Score
63
NORTHEASTERN
72
NORTH CAROLINA A&T
Simulated Score
68
NORTHEASTERN
72
NORTH CAROLINA A&T
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Aggies Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Aggies Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Aggies (+9.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim Aggies (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u135.5 Loss
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Sim u135.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 6, 2026 NE @ NCAT 88 - 72
Dec 31, 2025 NE @ NCAT 85 - 74
Feb 27, 2025 NCAT @ NE 55 - 69
Jan 18, 2024 NE @ NCAT 65 - 72
Dec 29, 2022 NCAT @ NE 76 - 88
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +42.8% more
North Carolina A&T: 39.7 vs Northeastern: 27.8
Blocks (L5) +15.7% more
North Carolina A&T: 4.7 vs Northeastern: 4.0
Free Throw % (L5) +3.2%
North Carolina A&T: 71.9% vs Northeastern: 68.6%
Assists (L5) +25.0% more
Northeastern: 18.1 vs North Carolina A&T: 13.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NE Score 63.0 85
NCAT Score 72.0 74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.5 / 48.4 28.0 / 47.0
Assists 13.6 / 18.1 15.0 / 17.0
Blocks 4.7 / 4.0 3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 45.9 / 50.4 46.0 / 54.0
Free Throw % 71.9 / 68.6 72.0 / 63.0
Rebounding 39.7 / 27.8 35.0 / 29.0
Steals 5.0 / 6.3 3.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 10.9 / 13.3 11.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NE
7-24-0 (22.6%)
Margin: -6.1 ATS +/-: -2.2
NCAT Advantage
11-19-0 (36.7%)
Margin: -2.8 ATS +/-: +1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NE
11-20-0 (35.5%)
Margin: -6.1 ATS +/-: -2.2
NCAT Advantage
16-12-0 (57.1%)
Margin: -2.8 ATS +/-: +1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
NE
20-11-0
O: 64.5% / U: 35.5% Total +/-: +7.6
NCAT
16-12-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9% Total +/-: +3.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NCAT
NE
NCAT
NE
ML
52% 14-13
70% 21-9
63% 17-10
60% 18-12
ATS
63% 17-10
63% 19-11
64% 18-10
60% 18-12
TTL
69% 18-8-1
53% 16-14
100% 28-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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