WICHITA STATE
SHOCKERSWICH
8-5 | Road
75
UAB
BLAZERSUAB
9-4 | Home
70
AI Model Win Probability
SHOCKERS
0%
BLAZERS
100%
SHOCKERS
--
BLAZERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
110.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-38.0
WICHITA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +38.0 points (Wichita State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WICH -38.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WICH)
WICH By 1-7 points
0.1%
WICH By 8-14 points
0.8%
UAB By 1-7 points
0.0%
UAB By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Wichita State
74
WICHITA STATE
UAB
36
UAB
Simulated Score
Wichita State
69
WICHITA STATE
UAB
73
UAB
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Shockers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blazers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Shockers (-2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -38.0
D
Sim
Blazers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u148.5
Win
Proj Total: 110.0
D
Sim
u148.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 31, 2025
WICH @ UAB
75 - 70
Feb 27, 2025
UAB @ WICH
80 - 72
Mar 15, 2024
WICH @ UAB
60 - 72
Feb 28, 2024
WICH @ UAB
74 - 66
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+16.3% more
Wichita State: 9.1
vs
UAB: 7.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.4%
Wichita State: 37.1%
vs
UAB: 31.7%
Steals (L5)
+42.2% more
UAB: 7.6
vs
Wichita State: 5.3
Blocks (L5)
+14.2% more
UAB: 3.6
vs
Wichita State: 3.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WICH Score
74.0
75
UAB Score
36.0
70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.7 / 37.1
25.0 / 45.0
Assists
15.2 / 15.2
15.0 / 12.0
Blocks
3.6 / 3.2
2.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
47.9 / 47.2
44.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
69.1 / 63.5
71.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
40.4 / 40.8
30.0 / 40.0
Steals
7.6 / 5.3
5.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
7.7 / 9.1
7.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WICH
Advantage
24-12-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +3.3
UAB
20-12-0
(62.5%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WICH
Advantage
22-13-0
(62.9%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +3.3
UAB
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
WICH
15-20-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1%
Total +/-: -1.0
UAB
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UAB
WICH
UAB
WICH
ML
59%
19-13
61%
22-14
41%
13-19
68%
23-11
ATS
56%
18-14
64%
23-13
41%
13-19
68%
23-11
TTL
69%
22-10
69%
25-11
100%
32-0
100%
34-0
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