SAINT JOSEPH'S
HAWKSJOES
8-5 | Road
79
SAINT LOUIS
BILLIKENSSLU
12-1 | Home
102
AI Model Win Probability
HAWKS
100%
BILLIKENS
0%
HAWKS
--
BILLIKENS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
SAINT LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Saint Louis)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SLU -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SLU)
JOES By 1-7 points
21.6%
JOES By 8-14 points
10.7%
SLU By 1-7 points
27.2%
SLU By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Saint Joseph's
73
SAINT JOSEPH'S
Saint Louis
76
SAINT LOUIS
Simulated Score
Saint Joseph's
71
SAINT JOSEPH'S
Saint Louis
75
SAINT LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Billikens
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Billikens
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Billikens (+20.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Billikens (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u159.5
Loss
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim
u159.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 31, 2025
JOES @ SLU
79 - 102
Feb 7, 2025
SLU @ JOES
63 - 76
Jan 3, 2025
JOES @ SLU
57 - 73
Feb 10, 2024
SLU @ JOES
86 - 87
Jan 10, 2024
JOES @ SLU
85 - 88
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+58.5% more
Saint Louis: 20.6
vs
Saint Joseph's: 13.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+16.2%
Saint Louis: 40.4%
vs
Saint Joseph's: 24.2%
Field Goal % (L5)
+12.3%
Saint Louis: 51.2%
vs
Saint Joseph's: 38.9%
Rebounding (L5)
+10.8% more
Saint Louis: 45.1
vs
Saint Joseph's: 40.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
JOES Score
73.0
79
SLU Score
76.0
102
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.4 / 24.2
59.0 / 36.0
Assists
20.6 / 13.0
25.0 / 14.0
Blocks
2.8 / 4.8
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
51.2 / 38.9
63.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
73.1 / 74.5
64.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
45.1 / 40.7
32.0 / 32.0
Steals
6.3 / 6.5
5.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
10.2 / 12.5
7.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
JOES
24-12-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 2.9
ATS +/-: +1.9
SLU
Advantage
29-6-0
(82.9%)
Margin: 16.8
ATS +/-: +2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
JOES
20-14-0
(58.8%)
Margin: 2.9
ATS +/-: +1.9
SLU
Advantage
19-13-2
(59.4%)
Margin: 16.8
ATS +/-: +2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
JOES
11-23-0
O: 32.4% / U: 67.7%
Total +/-: -3.3
SLU
18-16-0
O: 52.9% / U: 47.1%
Total +/-: -0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SLU
JOES
SLU
JOES
ML
70%
23-10
51%
18-17
68%
21-10
61%
20-13
ATS
73%
24-9
60%
21-14
68%
21-10
61%
20-13
TTL
61%
20-13
54%
19-16
100%
31-0
100%
33-0
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