FORDHAM
RAMSFOR
9-4 | Road
56
DAYTON
FLYERSDAY
9-4 | Home
63
AI Model Win Probability
RAMS
100%
FLYERS
0%
RAMS
--
FLYERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
138.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-52.0
DAYTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +52.0 points (Dayton)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DAY -52.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAY)
FOR By 1-7 points
0.0%
FOR By 8-14 points
0.0%
DAY By 1-7 points
0.0%
DAY By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Fordham
43
FORDHAM
Dayton
95
DAYTON
Simulated Score
Fordham
72
FORDHAM
Dayton
68
DAYTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Flyers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rams
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Flyers (-16.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -52.0
D
Sim
Rams (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o137.5
Loss
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Sim
u137.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 31, 2025
FOR @ DAY
56 - 63
Feb 12, 2025
DAY @ FOR
93 - 76
Feb 17, 2024
FOR @ DAY
70 - 78
Mar 11, 2023
FOR @ DAY
68 - 78
Jan 10, 2023
DAY @ FOR
82 - 58
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+202.6% more
Dayton: 4.7
vs
Fordham: 1.5
Steals (L5)
+14.0% more
Dayton: 8.2
vs
Fordham: 7.2
Turnovers (L5)
+13.8% more
Fordham: 12.7
vs
Dayton: 11.0
Assists (L5)
+12.5% more
Fordham: 15.9
vs
Dayton: 13.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FOR Score
43.0
56
DAY Score
95.0
63
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.8 / 32.8
25.0 / 26.0
Assists
13.9 / 15.9
13.0 / 12.0
Blocks
4.7 / 1.5
1.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
44.7 / 50.5
43.0 / 35.0
Free Throw %
73.2 / 72.4
72.0 / 63.0
Rebounding
35.4 / 39.7
33.0 / 41.0
Steals
8.2 / 7.2
11.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
11.0 / 12.7
8.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FOR
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +1.6
DAY
Advantage
25-12-0
(67.6%)
Margin: 4.8
ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FOR
Advantage
16-12-1
(57.1%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +1.6
DAY
18-19-0
(48.7%)
Margin: 4.8
ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
FOR
7-22-0
O: 24.1% / U: 75.9%
Total +/-: -6.8
DAY
13-24-0
O: 35.1% / U: 64.9%
Total +/-: -2.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAY
FOR
DAY
FOR
ML
65%
24-13
59%
19-13
64%
23-13
59%
19-13
ATS
68%
25-12
59%
19-13
64%
23-13
59%
19-13
TTL
57%
21-16
59%
19-13
100%
36-0
100%
32-0
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