AI Model Win Probability
TERRIERS
100%
CATAMOUNTS
0%
TERRIERS
--
CATAMOUNTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
WESTERN CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Western Carolina)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WCU -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WCU)
WOF By 1-7 points
24.3%
WOF By 8-14 points
13.7%
WCU By 1-7 points
26.2%
WCU By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Wofford
73
WOFFORD
Western Carolina
74
WESTERN CAROLINA
Simulated Score
Wofford
71
WOFFORD
Western Carolina
74
WESTERN CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Catamounts
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Catamounts
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Catamounts (+2.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Catamounts (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 7, 2026
WCU @ WOF
66 - 77
Dec 31, 2025
WOF @ WCU
79 - 74
Feb 26, 2025
WOF @ WCU
90 - 67
Jan 8, 2025
WCU @ WOF
69 - 77
Feb 3, 2024
WCU @ WOF
86 - 88
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+36.0% more
Western Carolina: 13.8
vs
Wofford: 10.1
Blocks (L5)
+20.7% more
Western Carolina: 2.9
vs
Wofford: 2.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.0%
Western Carolina: 33.9%
vs
Wofford: 30.9%
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.7%
Western Carolina: 45.7%
vs
Wofford: 44.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WOF Score
73.0
79
WCU Score
74.0
74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.9 / 30.9
25.0 / 38.0
Assists
12.9 / 14.9
13.0 / 10.0
Blocks
2.9 / 2.4
1.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
45.7 / 44.0
38.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
63.2 / 68.6
69.0 / 70.0
Rebounding
34.7 / 38.2
46.0 / 34.0
Steals
7.5 / 9.4
6.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
13.8 / 10.1
14.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WOF
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 1.6
ATS +/-: -1.0
WCU
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +1.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WOF
Advantage
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.6
ATS +/-: -1.0
WCU
14-15-0
(48.3%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +1.8
⚖️ Over/Under
WOF
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +4.9
WCU
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3%
Total +/-: +2.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WCU
WOF
WCU
WOF
ML
63%
19-11
39%
12-19
76%
22-7
61%
19-12
ATS
73%
22-8
58%
18-13
77%
23-7
61%
19-12
TTL
67%
20-10
65%
20-11
100%
30-0
100%
31-0