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GEORGE WASHINGTON

REVOLUTIONARIESGW

9-4  |  Road

99
FINAL
Wed, Dec 31 • 4:00 PM ET
Robins Center
View Odds Details →

RICHMOND

SPIDERSRICH

10-3  |  Home

85
AI Model Win Probability
REVOLUTIONARIES
0%
📊
SPIDERS
100%
REVOLUTIONARIES --
SPIDERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
137.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
GEORGE WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (George Washington)
RevolutionariesGW (-3.5) 0 SpidersRICH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Revolutionaries Cover

90.3%

Spiders Cover

9.7%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around GW -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GW)

GW By 1-7 points

18.6%

GW By 8-14 points

26.8%

RICH By 1-7 points

6.8%

RICH By 8-14 points

1.7%

AI Model Projected Score
75
GEORGE WASHINGTON
62
RICHMOND
Simulated Score
67
GEORGE WASHINGTON
73
RICHMOND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Revolutionaries Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Spiders Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Revolutionaries (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim Spiders (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 24, 2026 RICH @ GW 69 - 85
Dec 31, 2025 GW @ RICH 99 - 85
Jan 29, 2025 RICH @ GW 66 - 75
Dec 31, 2024 GW @ RICH 61 - 66
Feb 17, 2024 RICH @ GW 90 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +36.5% more
George Washington: 4.1 vs Richmond: 2.6
Assists (L5) +21.4% more
George Washington: 17.8 vs Richmond: 14.0
Turnovers (L5) +15.5% more
George Washington: 13.1 vs Richmond: 11.1
Steals (L5) +14.5% more
George Washington: 10.1 vs Richmond: 8.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
GW Score 75.0 99
RICH Score 62.0 85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.7 / 34.9 43.0 / 52.0
Assists 14.0 / 17.8 15.0 / 21.0
Blocks 2.6 / 4.1 1.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 43.9 / 45.9 49.0 / 59.0
Free Throw % 79.9 / 65.4 81.0 / 93.0
Rebounding 36.1 / 41.5 26.0 / 29.0
Steals 8.7 / 10.1 6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 11.1 / 13.1 8.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
63%MONEY37%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
61%MONEY39%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
77%MONEY23%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GW Advantage
19-16-0 (54.3%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
RICH
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GW
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
RICH Advantage
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
GW
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: -0.4
RICH
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RICH
GW
RICH
GW
ML
53% 17-15
63% 22-13
56% 18-14
60% 21-14
ATS
44% 14-18
69% 24-11
56% 18-14
60% 21-14
TTL
56% 18-14
60% 21-14
100% 32-0
100% 35-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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