CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
BUCCANEERSCHSO
9-6 | Road
89
GARDNER-WEBB
RUNNIN' BULLDOGSGWEB
2-13 | Home
79
AI Model Win Probability
BUCCANEERS
100%
RUNNIN' BULLDOGS
0%
BUCCANEERS
--
RUNNIN' BULLDOGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
181.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
GARDNER-WEBB
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Gardner-Webb)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GWEB -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GWEB)
CHSO By 1-7 points
24.3%
CHSO By 8-14 points
13.7%
GWEB By 1-7 points
26.2%
GWEB By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Charleston Southern
90
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
Gardner-Webb
91
GARDNER-WEBB
Simulated Score
Charleston Southern
70
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
Gardner-Webb
73
GARDNER-WEBB
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Runnin' Bulldogs
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Runnin' Bulldogs
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Runnin' Bulldogs (+2.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Runnin' Bulldogs (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o155.5
Win
Proj Total: 181.0
D
Sim
u155.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 17, 2026
GWEB @ CHSO
66 - 75
Dec 31, 2025
CHSO @ GWEB
89 - 79
Feb 8, 2025
CHSO @ GWEB
79 - 72
Jan 2, 2025
GWEB @ CHSO
63 - 72
Feb 14, 2024
GWEB @ CHSO
85 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+17.2% more
Gardner-Webb: 6.3
vs
Charleston Southern: 5.4
Blocks (L5)
+51.0% more
Charleston Southern: 4.9
vs
Gardner-Webb: 2.4
Rebounding (L5)
+30.7% more
Charleston Southern: 45.4
vs
Gardner-Webb: 31.5
Assists (L5)
+30.0% more
Charleston Southern: 16.1
vs
Gardner-Webb: 11.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHSO Score
90.0
89
GWEB Score
91.0
79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
26.5 / 32.9
38.0 / 40.0
Assists
11.2 / 16.1
10.0 / 12.0
Blocks
2.4 / 4.9
2.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
44.6 / 44.2
36.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
68.7 / 67.7
88.0 / 68.0
Rebounding
31.5 / 45.4
35.0 / 38.0
Steals
6.3 / 5.4
9.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
12.6 / 11.9
10.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHSO
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 3.3
ATS +/-: +2.0
GWEB
4-29-0
(12.1%)
Margin: -17.3
ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHSO
14-15-0
(48.3%)
Margin: 3.3
ATS +/-: +2.0
GWEB
Advantage
15-14-1
(51.7%)
Margin: -17.3
ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
CHSO
19-10-0
O: 65.5% / U: 34.5%
Total +/-: +4.6
GWEB
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GWEB
CHSO
GWEB
CHSO
ML
73%
22-8
43%
13-17
63%
19-11
67%
20-10
ATS
73%
22-8
50%
15-15
63%
19-11
68%
21-10
TTL
53%
16-14
50%
15-15
100%
30-0
100%
31-0
