ARMY
BLACK KNIGHTSARMY
6-7 | Road
85
LEHIGH
MOUNTAIN HAWKSLEH
4-9 | Home
78
AI Model Win Probability
BLACK KNIGHTS
100%
MOUNTAIN HAWKS
0%
BLACK KNIGHTS
--
MOUNTAIN HAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
182.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-22.0
LEHIGH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +22.0 points (Lehigh)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LEH -22.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LEH)
ARMY By 1-7 points
1.1%
ARMY By 8-14 points
0.1%
LEH By 1-7 points
5.8%
LEH By 8-14 points
15.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Army
80
ARMY
Lehigh
102
LEHIGH
Simulated Score
Army
68
ARMY
Lehigh
72
LEHIGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Mountain Hawks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mountain Hawks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Mountain Hawks (-5.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Sim
Mountain Hawks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o143.5
Win
Proj Total: 182.0
D
Sim
u143.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 28, 2026
LEH @ ARMY
64 - 67
Dec 31, 2025
ARMY @ LEH
85 - 78
Mar 1, 2025
LEH @ ARMY
89 - 67
Jan 11, 2025
ARMY @ LEH
74 - 69
Feb 21, 2024
LEH @ ARMY
85 - 54
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+123.8% more
Lehigh: 2.8
vs
Army: 1.3
Steals (L5)
+55.2% more
Lehigh: 7.3
vs
Army: 4.7
Turnovers (L5)
+32.4% more
Lehigh: 16.0
vs
Army: 12.1
Rebounding (L5)
+26.3% more
Army: 41.5
vs
Lehigh: 30.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ARMY Score
80.0
85
LEH Score
102.0
78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.0 / 42.0
27.0 / 32.0
Assists
13.3 / 17.7
18.0 / 17.0
Blocks
2.8 / 1.3
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
45.4 / 45.2
47.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
62.9 / 73.0
61.0 / 70.0
Rebounding
30.6 / 41.5
26.0 / 46.0
Steals
7.3 / 4.7
9.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
16.0 / 12.1
9.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ARMY
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -1.6
LEH
Advantage
18-17-0
(51.4%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ARMY
12-18-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -1.6
LEH
Advantage
18-14-1
(56.3%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
ARMY
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: +3.3
LEH
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: +4.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LEH
ARMY
LEH
ARMY
ML
56%
19-15
44%
14-18
68%
23-11
50%
16-16
ATS
56%
19-15
44%
14-18
68%
23-11
50%
16-16
TTL
76%
26-8
81%
26-6
100%
34-0
100%
32-0
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