MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
24-10-6 | Road
3
SAN JOSE
SHARKSSJ
19-17-3 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jesper Wallstedt
#30 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Yaroslav Askarov
#30 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesper Wallstedt | None-None | 2.79 | 0.893 | -- |
| Yaroslav Askarov | None-None | 2.77 | 0.870 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.79
GAA
Ldr 2.77
0.893 Ldr
Save %
0.870
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
WILD
0%
SHARKS
100%
WILD
--
SHARKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
SAN JOSE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around SJ +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SJ)
MIN By 1 goal
19.7%
MIN By 2-3 goals
29.6%
SJ By 1 goal
12.1%
SJ By 2-3 goals
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
3
MINNESOTA
San Jose
2
SAN JOSE
Simulated Score
Minnesota
4
MINNESOTA
San Jose
2
SAN JOSE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Wild
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wild
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Sharks (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim
Wild (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 31, 2025
MIN @ SJ
3 - 4
Nov 11, 2025
SJ @ MIN
2 - 1
Oct 26, 2025
SJ @ MIN
6 - 5
Apr 9, 2025
SJ @ MIN
7 - 8
Jan 11, 2025
MIN @ SJ
3 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+21.0% more
Minnesota: 26.6
vs
San Jose: 21.0
Blocked Shots (L5)
+18.1% more
Minnesota: 18.2
vs
San Jose: 14.9
Power Play % (L5)
+12.2%
Minnesota: 14.6%
vs
San Jose: 2.4%
Takeaways (L5)
+22.5% more
San Jose: 5.3
vs
Minnesota: 4.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
3.0
3
SJ Score
2.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.9 / 18.2
22.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
47.0 / 46.9
55.4 / 44.6
Hits
18.8 / 19.3
19.0 / 19.0
Power Play %
2.4 / 14.6
100.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
21.0 / 26.6
28.0 / 23.0
Takeaways
5.3 / 4.4
5.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SJ
MIN
SJ
MIN
ML
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
ATS
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
33%
1-2
100%
3-0
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
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