NEW YORK
RANGERSNYR
19-17-5 | Road
3
WASHINGTON
CAPITALSWSH
20-14-5 | Home
6
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jonathan Quick
#32 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Charlie Lindgren
#79 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Quick | None-None | 5.07 | 0.808 | -- |
| Charlie Lindgren | None-None | 3.02 | 0.880 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
5.07
GAA
Ldr 3.02
0.808
Save %
Ldr 0.880
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
100%
CAPITALS
0%
RANGERS
--
CAPITALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Washington)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around WSH -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WSH)
NYR By 1 goal
12.1%
NYR By 2-3 goals
9.3%
WSH By 1 goal
19.7%
WSH By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
2
NEW YORK
Washington
3
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
New York
2
NEW YORK
Washington
3
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Capitals
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Capitals
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Capitals (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Capitals (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 5, 2026
WSH @ NYR
1 - 8
Dec 31, 2025
NYR @ WSH
3 - 6
Dec 23, 2025
NYR @ WSH
7 - 3
Oct 12, 2025
WSH @ NYR
1 - 0
Mar 5, 2025
WSH @ NYR
3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+31.6% more
Washington: 29.2
vs
New York: 22.2
Faceoff % (L5)
+1.9%
Washington: 53.5%
vs
New York: 51.6%
Hits (L5)
+24.8% more
New York: 22.3
vs
Washington: 16.8
Power Play % (L5)
+13.4%
New York: 25.0%
vs
Washington: 11.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYR Score
2.0
3
WSH Score
3.0
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
18.1 / 17.2
21.0 / 27.0
Faceoff %
53.5 / 51.6
50.0 / 50.0
Hits
16.8 / 22.3
21.0 / 21.0
Power Play %
11.6 / 25.0
33.3 / 100.0
Shots on Goal
29.2 / 22.2
27.0 / 25.0
Takeaways
4.1 / 3.9
5.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
NYR
WSH
NYR
ML
100%
3-0
80%
4-1
67%
2-1
40%
2-3
ATS
100%
3-0
80%
4-1
67%
2-1
60%
3-2
TTL
33%
1-2
60%
3-2
33%
1-2
60%
3-2
Contextual Game News
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Ovechkin's Sons Steal the Show as Capitals Clip Penguins 5-3 in …
Penguins Embarrassed by Capitals as Turnovers and Disorganizatio…