WAKE FOREST
DEMON DEACONSWAKE
9-4 | Road
57
NC STATE
WOLFPACKNCSU
9-4 | Home
70
AI Model Win Probability
DEMON DEACONS
0%
WOLFPACK
100%
DEMON DEACONS
--
WOLFPACK
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
148.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-46.0
WAKE FOREST
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +46.0 points (Wake Forest)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WAKE -46.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WAKE)
WAKE By 1-7 points
0.0%
WAKE By 8-14 points
0.1%
NCSU By 1-7 points
0.0%
NCSU By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Wake Forest
97
WAKE FOREST
NC State
51
NC STATE
Simulated Score
Wake Forest
74
WAKE FOREST
NC State
78
NC STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Demon Deacons
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wolfpack
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Demon Deacons (-9.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -46.0
D
Sim
Wolfpack (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u157.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Sim
u157.5
Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 31, 2026
NCSU @ WAKE
96 - 78
Dec 31, 2025
WAKE @ NCSU
57 - 70
Feb 22, 2025
WAKE @ NCSU
73 - 85
Jan 4, 2025
NCSU @ WAKE
59 - 77
Feb 10, 2024
NCSU @ WAKE
79 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+16.7% more
Wake Forest: 12.9
vs
NC State: 10.7
Steals (L5)
+11.0% more
Wake Forest: 8.5
vs
NC State: 7.6
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.5%
Wake Forest: 77.5%
vs
NC State: 70.0%
Assists (L5)
+46.7% more
NC State: 18.7
vs
Wake Forest: 12.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WAKE Score
97.0
57
NCSU Score
51.0
70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.3 / 28.9
29.0 / 26.0
Assists
18.7 / 12.7
16.0 / 13.0
Blocks
3.1 / 3.0
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
48.4 / 43.8
42.0 / 34.0
Free Throw %
70.0 / 77.5
82.0 / 69.0
Rebounding
39.1 / 33.3
40.0 / 35.0
Steals
7.6 / 8.5
10.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
10.7 / 12.9
15.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WAKE
18-17-0
(51.4%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: -0.8
NCSU
Advantage
20-14-0
(58.8%)
Margin: 6.9
ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WAKE
16-18-1
(47.1%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: -0.8
NCSU
Advantage
16-17-1
(48.5%)
Margin: 6.9
ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
WAKE
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9%
Total +/-: +1.0
NCSU
21-13-0
O: 61.8% / U: 38.2%
Total +/-: +6.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NCSU
WAKE
NCSU
WAKE
ML
59%
20-14
49%
17-18
55%
18-15
61%
20-13
ATS
71%
24-10
66%
23-12
55%
18-15
61%
20-13
TTL
71%
24-10
60%
21-14
100%
33-0
100%
33-0
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