GEORGIA TECH
YELLOW JACKETSGT
9-4 | Road
79
DUKE
BLUE DEVILSDUKE
11-1 | Home
85
AI Model Win Probability
YELLOW JACKETS
100%
BLUE DEVILS
0%
YELLOW JACKETS
--
BLUE DEVILS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
155.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-35.0
DUKE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +35.0 points (Duke)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DUKE -35.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DUKE)
GT By 1-7 points
0.0%
GT By 8-14 points
0.0%
DUKE By 1-7 points
0.3%
DUKE By 8-14 points
1.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Georgia Tech
60
GEORGIA TECH
Duke
95
DUKE
Simulated Score
Georgia Tech
65
GEORGIA TECH
Duke
82
DUKE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Blue Devils
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blue Devils
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Blue Devils (-27.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -35.0
D
Sim
Blue Devils (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o153.5
Win
Proj Total: 155.0
D
Sim
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 31, 2025
GT @ DUKE
79 - 85
Mar 13, 2025
GT @ DUKE
70 - 78
Dec 21, 2024
DUKE @ GT
82 - 56
Jan 13, 2024
GT @ DUKE
79 - 84
Dec 2, 2023
DUKE @ GT
68 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+38.6% more
Duke: 8.6
vs
Georgia Tech: 6.2
Assists (L5)
+18.5% more
Georgia Tech: 20.4
vs
Duke: 16.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+17.4%
Georgia Tech: 51.2%
vs
Duke: 33.8%
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.9%
Georgia Tech: 76.3%
vs
Duke: 66.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
GT Score
60.0
79
DUKE Score
95.0
85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.8 / 51.2
28.0 / 56.0
Assists
16.6 / 20.4
10.0 / 18.0
Blocks
3.9 / 4.1
2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
49.5 / 52.9
41.0 / 54.0
Free Throw %
66.4 / 76.3
69.0 / 85.0
Rebounding
39.7 / 41.1
42.0 / 28.0
Steals
8.6 / 6.2
11.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
13.0 / 14.2
12.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GT
11-20-0
(35.5%)
Margin: -3.6
ATS +/-: -2.2
DUKE
Advantage
35-3-0
(92.1%)
Margin: 18.0
ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GT
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: -3.6
ATS +/-: -2.2
DUKE
Advantage
20-18-0
(52.6%)
Margin: 18.0
ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
GT
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9%
Total +/-: +1.5
DUKE
14-24-0
O: 36.8% / U: 63.2%
Total +/-: -3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DUKE
GT
DUKE
GT
ML
71%
27-11
61%
19-12
73%
24-9
63%
19-11
ATS
79%
30-8
55%
17-14
73%
24-9
63%
19-11
TTL
47%
18-20
61%
19-12
100%
33-0
100%
30-0
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