BOSTON
CELTICSBOS
19-12 | Road
129
UTAH
JAZZUTAH
12-19 | Home
119
AI Model Win Probability
CELTICS
100%
JAZZ
0%
CELTICS
--
JAZZ
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
227.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Utah)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UTAH -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTAH)
BOS By 1-7 points
24.3%
BOS By 8-14 points
13.7%
UTAH By 1-7 points
26.2%
UTAH By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
113
BOSTON
Utah
114
UTAH
Simulated Score
Boston
108
BOSTON
Utah
119
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Jazz
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jazz
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Jazz (+7.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Jazz (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u244.0
Loss
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Sim
u244.0
Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 30, 2025
BOS @ UTAH
129 - 119
Nov 3, 2025
UTAH @ BOS
105 - 103
Mar 21, 2025
BOS @ UTAH
121 - 99
Mar 10, 2025
UTAH @ BOS
108 - 114
Mar 12, 2024
BOS @ UTAH
123 - 107
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+51.7% more
Utah: 32.7
vs
Boston: 21.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.6%
Utah: 42.1%
vs
Boston: 36.6%
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.2%
Utah: 83.5%
vs
Boston: 79.3%
Blocks (L5)
+16.7% more
Boston: 4.8
vs
Utah: 4.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
113.0
129
UTAH Score
114.0
119
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
42.1 / 36.6
38.0 / 30.0
Assists
32.7 / 21.5
31.0 / 27.0
Blocks
4.0 / 4.8
3.0 / 9.0
Field Goal %
48.9 / 48.0
47.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
83.5 / 79.3
84.0 / 87.0
Rebounding
41.6 / 43.5
40.0 / 44.0
Steals
8.8 / 9.3
4.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
15.2 / 15.2
13.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BOS
Advantage
59-30-0
(66.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
UTAH
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BOS
Advantage
51-38-0
(57.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
UTAH
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0%
Total +/-: -3.2
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
BOS
UTAH
BOS
ML
60%
96-63
57%
61-46
48%
40-43
53%
47-41
ATS
68%
108-51
59%
61-43-3
48%
40-43
53%
47-41
TTL
75%
119-39-1
56%
60-47
100%
83-0
100%
88-0
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