PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
16-14 | Road
139
MEMPHIS
GRIZZLIESMEM
15-17 | Home
136
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
100%
GRIZZLIES
0%
76ERS
--
GRIZZLIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
240.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
MEMPHIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Memphis)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MEM -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MEM)
PHI By 1-7 points
23.0%
PHI By 8-14 points
12.2%
MEM By 1-7 points
26.8%
MEM By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
119
PHILADELPHIA
Memphis
121
MEMPHIS
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
109
PHILADELPHIA
Memphis
118
MEMPHIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Grizzlies
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Grizzlies
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Grizzlies (-1)
Loss
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim
Grizzlies (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o233.5
Win
Proj Total: 240.0
D
Sim
u233.5
Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 10, 2026
MEM @ PHI
129 - 139
Dec 30, 2025
PHI @ MEM
139 - 136
Nov 20, 2024
PHI @ MEM
111 - 117
Nov 2, 2024
MEM @ PHI
124 - 107
Apr 6, 2024
PHI @ MEM
116 - 96
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+49.3% more
Memphis: 7.2
vs
Philadelphia: 4.8
Steals (L5)
+46.9% more
Memphis: 11.3
vs
Philadelphia: 7.7
Assists (L5)
+39.1% more
Memphis: 29.6
vs
Philadelphia: 21.3
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.8%
Memphis: 46.9%
vs
Philadelphia: 41.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
119.0
139
MEM Score
121.0
136
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.6 / 33.9
38.0 / 36.0
Assists
29.6 / 21.3
28.0 / 33.0
Blocks
7.2 / 4.8
10.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
46.9 / 41.1
55.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
78.0 / 83.7
88.0 / 81.0
Rebounding
43.6 / 42.9
51.0 / 41.0
Steals
11.3 / 7.7
2.0 / 14.0
Turnovers
15.9 / 15.5
20.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
MEM
25-57-0
(30.5%)
Margin: -6.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
MEM
37-45-0
(45.1%)
Margin: -6.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
MEM
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MEM
PHI
MEM
PHI
ML
57%
59-44
63%
69-40
50%
41-41
48%
45-48
ATS
63%
65-38
65%
71-38
50%
41-41
48%
45-48
TTL
70%
71-31-1
55%
60-49
100%
82-0
100%
93-0
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