MONTREAL
CANADIENSMTL
20-12-6 | Road
3
FLORIDA
PANTHERSFLA
21-15-2 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Sam Montembeault
#35 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Niko Mikkola
#77 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Montembeault | None-None | 1.91 | 0.933 | -- |
| Niko Mikkola | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.91
GAA
--
0.933
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
CANADIENS
100%
PANTHERS
0%
CANADIENS
--
PANTHERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Florida)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around FLA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)
MTL By 1 goal
12.1%
MTL By 2-3 goals
9.3%
FLA By 1 goal
19.7%
FLA By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Montreal
3
MONTREAL
Florida
4
FLORIDA
Simulated Score
Montreal
2
MONTREAL
Florida
4
FLORIDA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Panthers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Panthers
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Panthers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Panthers (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 7, 2026
FLA @ MTL
3 - 4
Jan 8, 2026
FLA @ MTL
2 - 6
Dec 30, 2025
MTL @ FLA
3 - 2
Apr 1, 2025
FLA @ MTL
2 - 3
Mar 30, 2025
MTL @ FLA
4 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+7.9%
Florida: 17.5%
vs
Montreal: 9.7%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+29.8% more
Montreal: 14.7
vs
Florida: 10.3
Takeaways (L5)
+24.8% more
Montreal: 5.2
vs
Florida: 3.9
Shots on Goal (L5)
+11.0% more
Montreal: 29.9
vs
Florida: 26.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MTL Score
3.0
3
FLA Score
4.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
10.3 / 14.7
11.0 / 18.0
Faceoff %
47.0 / 53.5
44.3 / 55.7
Hits
23.7 / 23.1
30.0 / 16.0
Power Play %
17.5 / 9.7
25.0 / 25.0
Shots on Goal
26.6 / 29.9
30.0 / 29.0
Takeaways
3.9 / 5.2
1.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FLA
MTL
FLA
MTL
ML
0%
0-4
67%
2-1
0%
0-4
33%
1-2
ATS
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
100%
3-0
TTL
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
0%
0-4
67%
2-1
Contextual Game News
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