CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
24-11-3 | Road
1
PITTSBURGH
PENGUINSPIT
16-12-9 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Sean Walker
#26 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Kris Letang
#58 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Walker | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Kris Letang | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
--
--
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
HURRICANES
0%
PENGUINS
100%
HURRICANES
--
PENGUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Carolina)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around CAR -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)
CAR By 1 goal
6.6%
CAR By 2-3 goals
29.6%
PIT By 1 goal
0.9%
PIT By 2-3 goals
0.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Carolina
5
CAROLINA
Pittsburgh
1
PITTSBURGH
Simulated Score
Carolina
2
CAROLINA
Pittsburgh
4
PITTSBURGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Hurricanes
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Penguins
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Hurricanes (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -4.0
D
Sim
Penguins (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 22, 2026
CAR @ PIT
5 - 1
Mar 18, 2026
PIT @ CAR
5 - 6
Mar 10, 2026
PIT @ CAR
4 - 5
Dec 30, 2025
CAR @ PIT
1 - 5
Jan 5, 2025
PIT @ CAR
3 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+14.5% more
Carolina: 23.6
vs
Pittsburgh: 20.2
Shots on Goal (L5)
+10.7% more
Carolina: 31.7
vs
Pittsburgh: 28.3
Takeaways (L5)
+10.1% more
Carolina: 6.1
vs
Pittsburgh: 5.5
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.4%
Carolina: 53.0%
vs
Pittsburgh: 48.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CAR Score
5.0
1
PIT Score
1.0
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.8 / 10.0
19.0 / 15.0
Faceoff %
48.6 / 53.0
52.7 / 47.3
Hits
20.2 / 23.6
15.0 / 21.0
Power Play %
26.6 / 20.9
50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
28.3 / 31.7
28.0 / 28.0
Takeaways
5.5 / 6.1
7.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PIT
CAR
PIT
CAR
ML
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
ATS
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
100%
4-0
TTL
25%
1-3
0%
0-4
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
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