HOWARD
BISONHOW
9-5 | Road
60
NORTHWESTERN
WILDCATSNU
7-5 | Home
80
AI Model Win Probability
BISON
100%
WILDCATS
0%
BISON
--
WILDCATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
180.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
NORTHWESTERN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Northwestern)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NU -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NU)
HOW By 1-7 points
23.0%
HOW By 8-14 points
12.2%
NU By 1-7 points
26.8%
NU By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Howard
89
HOWARD
Northwestern
91
NORTHWESTERN
Simulated Score
Howard
62
HOWARD
Northwestern
78
NORTHWESTERN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Wildcats
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wildcats
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Wildcats (+20.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim
Wildcats (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o147.5
Loss
Proj Total: 180.0
D
Sim
u147.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 30, 2025
HOW @ NU
60 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+45.5% more
Northwestern: 18.4
vs
Howard: 12.6
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.6%
Northwestern: 80.3%
vs
Howard: 77.7%
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.7%
Northwestern: 45.7%
vs
Howard: 44.0%
Steals (L5)
+53.1% more
Howard: 9.4
vs
Northwestern: 4.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HOW Score
89.0
60
NU Score
91.0
80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
24.3 / 38.4
35.0 / 36.0
Assists
18.4 / 12.6
21.0 / 15.0
Blocks
4.0 / 4.6
6.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
45.7 / 44.0
46.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
80.3 / 77.7
65.0 / 62.0
Rebounding
35.4 / 36.6
36.0 / 35.0
Steals
4.4 / 9.4
7.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
9.5 / 14.2
5.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HOW
Advantage
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.6
ATS +/-: +4.9
NU
15-19-0
(44.1%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-: +0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HOW
Advantage
22-8-1
(73.3%)
Margin: 8.6
ATS +/-: +4.9
NU
16-16-2
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-: +0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
HOW
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: 0.0
NU
15-18-1
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NU
HOW
NU
HOW
ML
47%
16-18
59%
20-14
68%
23-11
71%
22-9
ATS
50%
17-17
59%
20-14
68%
23-11
71%
22-9
TTL
53%
18-16
62%
21-13
100%
34-0
100%
31-0
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