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SOUTH CAROLINA STATE

BULLDOGSSCST

1-13  |  Road

54
FINAL
Tue, Dec 30 • 8:00 PM ET
Food City Center
View Odds Details →

TENNESSEE

VOLUNTEERSTENN

9-3  |  Home

105
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
100%
📊
VOLUNTEERS
0%
BULLDOGS --
VOLUNTEERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
154.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
TENNESSEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (Tennessee)
BulldogsSCST (-3.5) 0 VolunteersTENN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bulldogs Cover

2.3%

Volunteers Cover

97.7%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TENN -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TENN)

SCST By 1-7 points

1.7%

SCST By 8-14 points

0.3%

TENN By 1-7 points

8.0%

TENN By 8-14 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
67
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE
87
TENNESSEE
Simulated Score
58
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE
92
TENNESSEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Volunteers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Volunteers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Volunteers (+44.5) Win
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim Volunteers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o147.5 Win
Proj Total: 154.0
D
Sim u147.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 30, 2025 SCST @ TENN 54 - 105
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +74.2% more
Tennessee: 3.3 vs South Carolina State: 1.9
Rebounding (L5) +48.3% more
Tennessee: 42.6 vs South Carolina State: 28.7
Assists (L5) +33.8% more
Tennessee: 18.2 vs South Carolina State: 13.6
Steals (L5) +21.8% more
Tennessee: 8.2 vs South Carolina State: 6.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SCST Score 67.0 54
TENN Score 87.0 105
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.3 / 40.0 35.0 / 30.0
Assists 18.2 / 13.6 30.0 / 9.0
Blocks 3.3 / 1.9 7.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 48.8 / 42.3 61.0 / 35.0
Free Throw % 63.6 / 61.3 58.0 / 50.0
Rebounding 42.6 / 28.7 52.0 / 16.0
Steals 8.2 / 6.7 6.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 11.1 / 12.6 10.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
40%MONEY60%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
74%MONEY26%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SCST
10-22-0 (31.3%)
Margin: -11.7 ATS +/-: -0.9
TENN Advantage
25-12-0 (67.6%)
Margin: 9.3 ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SCST
13-16-1 (44.8%)
Margin: -11.7 ATS +/-: -0.9
TENN Advantage
17-19-1 (47.2%)
Margin: 9.3 ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
SCST
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: +0.6
TENN
18-19-0
O: 48.7% / U: 51.3% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TENN
SCST
TENN
SCST
ML
46% 17-20
61% 19-12
64% 21-12
74% 20-7
ATS
54% 20-17
68% 21-10
64% 21-12
74% 20-7
TTL
76% 28-9
52% 16-15
100% 33-0
100% 27-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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