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PITTSBURGH

PANTHERSPITT

7-6  |  Road

69
FINAL
Tue, Dec 30 • 7:00 PM ET
Watsco Center
View Odds Details →

MIAMI

HURRICANESMIA

11-2  |  Home

76
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
0%
📊
HURRICANES
100%
PANTHERS --
HURRICANES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
PITTSBURGH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (Pittsburgh)
PanthersPITT (-3.5) 0 HurricanesMIA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Panthers Cover

97.1%

Hurricanes Cover

2.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PITT -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PITT)

PITT By 1-7 points

9.3%

PITT By 8-14 points

20.1%

MIA By 1-7 points

2.2%

MIA By 8-14 points

0.4%

AI Model Projected Score
82
PITTSBURGH
63
MIAMI
Simulated Score
71
PITTSBURGH
74
MIAMI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Panthers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hurricanes Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Panthers (-9.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim Hurricanes (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o144.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim u144.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 30, 2025 PITT @ MIA 69 - 76
Feb 15, 2025 MIA @ PITT 65 - 74
Jan 27, 2024 PITT @ MIA 68 - 72
Mar 4, 2023 PITT @ MIA 76 - 78
Jan 28, 2023 MIA @ PITT 68 - 71
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +7.3%
Pittsburgh: 43.4% vs Miami: 36.1%
Assists (L5) +40.6% more
Miami: 20.8 vs Pittsburgh: 14.8
Steals (L5) +27.0% more
Miami: 9.4 vs Pittsburgh: 7.4
Blocks (L5) +19.3% more
Miami: 3.8 vs Pittsburgh: 3.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PITT Score 82.0 69
MIA Score 63.0 76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.1 / 43.4 18.0 / 24.0
Assists 20.8 / 14.8 6.0 / 13.0
Blocks 3.8 / 3.2 2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 54.6 / 49.9 45.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 66.3 / 64.4 77.0 / 53.0
Rebounding 41.4 / 35.2 43.0 / 28.0
Steals 9.4 / 7.4 5.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 11.4 / 10.3 10.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
10%MONEY90%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
29%TICKETS71%
36%MONEY64%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
45%MONEY55%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PITT
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: -1.3 ATS +/-: -0.5
MIA Advantage
26-9-0 (74.3%)
Margin: 10.3 ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PITT
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: -1.3 ATS +/-: -0.5
MIA Advantage
18-15-1 (54.6%)
Margin: 10.3 ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
PITT
17-15-1
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9% Total +/-: -0.2
MIA
21-12-1
O: 63.6% / U: 36.4% Total +/-: +0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIA
PITT
MIA
PITT
ML
63% 22-13
58% 19-14
64% 21-12
45% 15-18
ATS
63% 22-13
64% 21-12
64% 21-12
45% 15-18
TTL
63% 22-13
61% 20-13
100% 33-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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