MILWAUKEE
PANTHERSMILW
7-6 | Road
60
WISCONSIN
BADGERSWIS
8-4 | Home
80
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
100%
BADGERS
0%
PANTHERS
--
BADGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
136.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-22.0
WISCONSIN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +22.0 points (Wisconsin)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WIS -22.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WIS)
MILW By 1-7 points
1.1%
MILW By 8-14 points
0.1%
WIS By 1-7 points
5.8%
WIS By 8-14 points
15.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
57
MILWAUKEE
Wisconsin
79
WISCONSIN
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
68
MILWAUKEE
Wisconsin
75
WISCONSIN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Badgers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Badgers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Badgers (-20.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Sim
Badgers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u157.5
Win
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Sim
u157.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 30, 2025
MILW @ WIS
60 - 80
Dec 21, 2019
MILW @ WIS
64 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+14.8% more
Wisconsin: 18.4
vs
Milwaukee: 16.0
Turnovers (L5)
+8.3% more
Wisconsin: 11.4
vs
Milwaukee: 10.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.6%
Wisconsin: 37.2%
vs
Milwaukee: 33.7%
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.9%
Wisconsin: 46.1%
vs
Milwaukee: 43.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MILW Score
57.0
60
WIS Score
79.0
80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.2 / 33.7
18.0 / 14.0
Assists
18.4 / 16.0
14.0 / 5.0
Blocks
2.8 / 3.0
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
46.1 / 43.3
49.0 / 33.0
Free Throw %
71.6 / 78.3
63.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
38.0 / 45.7
40.0 / 40.0
Steals
4.4 / 5.5
5.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
11.4 / 10.5
9.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MILW
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -3.4
ATS +/-: -3.0
WIS
Advantage
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 6.9
ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MILW
12-19-0
(38.7%)
Margin: -3.4
ATS +/-: -3.0
WIS
Advantage
20-15-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 6.9
ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
MILW
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: -1.0
WIS
22-13-0
O: 62.9% / U: 37.1%
Total +/-: +3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WIS
MILW
WIS
MILW
ML
60%
21-14
50%
16-16
69%
24-11
69%
22-10
ATS
51%
18-17
47%
15-17
69%
24-11
69%
22-10
TTL
57%
20-15
59%
19-13
100%
35-0
100%
32-0
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