Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Great Danes @ Gamecocks UALB @ SC

UALBANY

GREAT DANESUALB

4-10  |  Road

67
FINAL
Tue, Dec 30 • 6:00 PM ET
Colonial Life Arena
View Odds Details →

SOUTH CAROLINA

GAMECOCKSSC

8-4  |  Home

96
AI Model Win Probability
GREAT DANES
100%
📊
GAMECOCKS
0%
GREAT DANES --
GAMECOCKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
174.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
SOUTH CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (South Carolina)
Great DanesUALB (-3.5) 0 GamecocksSC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Great Danes Cover

3.6%

Gamecocks Cover

96.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SC -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SC)

UALB By 1-7 points

2.7%

UALB By 8-14 points

0.5%

SC By 1-7 points

10.7%

SC By 8-14 points

21.6%

AI Model Projected Score
78
UALBANY
96
SOUTH CAROLINA
Simulated Score
61
UALBANY
78
SOUTH CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Gamecocks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Gamecocks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Gamecocks (+20.5) Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim Gamecocks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o147.5 Win
Proj Total: 174.0
D
Sim u147.5 Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 30, 2025 UALB @ SC 67 - 96
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +24.2%
South Carolina: 82.9% vs UAlbany: 58.7%
Turnovers (L5) +14.7% more
South Carolina: 12.3 vs UAlbany: 10.7
Steals (L5) +12.3% more
South Carolina: 5.6 vs UAlbany: 5.0
Blocks (L5) +65.1% more
UAlbany: 5.4 vs South Carolina: 1.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UALB Score 78.0 67
SC Score 96.0 96
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 24.7 / 39.4 47.0 / 35.0
Assists 13.2 / 14.2 19.0 / 15.0
Blocks 1.9 / 5.4 4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 48.3 / 48.6 60.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 82.9 / 58.7 94.0 / 88.0
Rebounding 35.7 / 33.5 27.0 / 30.0
Steals 5.6 / 5.0 8.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 12.3 / 10.7 9.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
5%MONEY95%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
29%TICKETS71%
26%MONEY74%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
67%MONEY33%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UALB
11-21-0 (34.4%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
SC Advantage
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UALB
11-18-0 (37.9%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
SC Advantage
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
UALB
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: +0.3
SC
14-16-2
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: +1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SC
UALB
SC
UALB
ML
72% 23-9
55% 17-14
68% 21-10
71% 22-9
ATS
69% 22-10
77% 24-7
68% 21-10
72% 23-9
TTL
50% 16-16
61% 19-12
100% 31-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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