Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bobcats @ Chippewas OHIO @ CMU

OHIO

BOBCATSOHIO

6-7  |  Road

80
FINAL
Tue, Dec 30 • 3:00 PM ET
McGuirk Arena
View Odds Details →

CENTRAL MICHIGAN

CHIPPEWASCMU

4-9  |  Home

64
AI Model Win Probability
BOBCATS
0%
📊
CHIPPEWAS
100%
BOBCATS --
CHIPPEWAS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
134.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
OHIO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Ohio)
BobcatsOHIO (-3.5) 0 ChippewasCMU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bobcats Cover

78.8%

Chippewas Cover

21.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around OHIO -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OHIO)

OHIO By 1-7 points

25.3%

OHIO By 8-14 points

26.2%

CMU By 1-7 points

13.7%

CMU By 8-14 points

4.8%

AI Model Projected Score
71
OHIO
63
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Simulated Score
69
OHIO
78
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Bobcats Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Chippewas Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Bobcats (+5.5) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim Chippewas (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 134.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 30, 2025 OHIO @ CMU 80 - 64
Feb 18, 2025 CMU @ OHIO 82 - 84
Jan 4, 2025 OHIO @ CMU 57 - 55
Jan 16, 2024 CMU @ OHIO 61 - 73
Feb 18, 2023 OHIO @ CMU 76 - 59
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +26.1% more
Ohio: 4.9 vs Central Michigan: 3.6
Rebounding (L5) +24.4% more
Ohio: 34.9 vs Central Michigan: 26.4
Steals (L5) +17.4% more
Ohio: 7.6 vs Central Michigan: 6.3
Turnovers (L5) +14.6% more
Ohio: 12.5 vs Central Michigan: 10.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
OHIO Score 71.0 80
CMU Score 63.0 64
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 27.4 / 25.4 0.0 / 20.0
Assists 15.4 / 14.0 9.0 / 18.0
Blocks 3.6 / 4.9 8.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 43.9 / 46.3 41.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 68.6 / 68.4 70.0 / 65.0
Rebounding 26.4 / 34.9 38.0 / 40.0
Steals 6.3 / 7.6 8.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 10.7 / 12.5 15.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
87%TICKETS13%
82%MONEY18%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
64%MONEY36%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
66%MONEY34%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OHIO Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-: -3.0
CMU
10-21-0 (32.3%)
Margin: -3.5 ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OHIO
12-18-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-: -3.0
CMU Advantage
15-13-1 (53.6%)
Margin: -3.5 ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
OHIO
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +1.5
CMU
13-16-0
O: 44.8% / U: 55.2% Total +/-: +0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CMU
OHIO
CMU
OHIO
ML
57% 17-13
65% 20-11
70% 21-9
63% 19-11
ATS
67% 20-10
68% 21-10
70% 21-9
63% 19-11
TTL
67% 20-10
61% 19-12
100% 30-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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