WYOMING
COWBOYSWYO
9-3 | Road
68
AIR FORCE
FALCONSAF
3-9 | Home
56
AI Model Win Probability
COWBOYS
0%
FALCONS
100%
COWBOYS
--
FALCONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-40.0
WYOMING
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +40.0 points (Wyoming)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WYO -40.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WYO)
WYO By 1-7 points
0.1%
WYO By 8-14 points
0.5%
AF By 1-7 points
0.0%
AF By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Wyoming
93
WYOMING
Air Force
53
AIR FORCE
Simulated Score
Wyoming
62
WYOMING
Air Force
70
AIR FORCE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cowboys
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Falcons
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Cowboys (+12.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -40.0
D
Sim
Falcons (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o143.5
Loss
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim
u143.5
Win
Proj Total: 132.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
AF @ WYO
62 - 66
Dec 30, 2025
WYO @ AF
68 - 56
Feb 18, 2025
AF @ WYO
62 - 69
Jan 4, 2025
WYO @ AF
70 - 65
Mar 5, 2024
AF @ WYO
63 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+43.9% more
Wyoming: 9.0
vs
Air Force: 5.0
Assists (L5)
+20.5% more
Wyoming: 13.5
vs
Air Force: 10.7
Rebounding (L5)
+19.0% more
Wyoming: 34.6
vs
Air Force: 28.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+11.0%
Wyoming: 77.9%
vs
Air Force: 66.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WYO Score
93.0
68
AF Score
53.0
56
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.1 / 30.2
8.0 / 36.0
Assists
10.7 / 13.5
8.0 / 13.0
Blocks
3.9 / 2.2
5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
42.7 / 48.2
50.0 / 35.0
Free Throw %
66.8 / 77.9
55.0 / 89.0
Rebounding
28.0 / 34.6
25.0 / 36.0
Steals
5.0 / 9.0
11.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
12.8 / 11.2
19.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WYO
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
AF
3-29-0
(9.4%)
Margin: -18.3
ATS +/-: -4.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WYO
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
AF
10-21-1
(32.3%)
Margin: -18.3
ATS +/-: -4.9
⚖️ Over/Under
WYO
16-16-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.7
AF
19-13-0
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
AF
WYO
AF
WYO
ML
81%
26-6
52%
17-16
62%
20-12
70%
23-10
ATS
69%
22-10
64%
21-12
62%
20-12
70%
23-10
TTL
69%
22-10
64%
21-12
100%
32-0
100%
33-0
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