AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
100%
CELTICS
0%
KNICKS
--
CELTICS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
214.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.9
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.9 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BOS -2.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
NY By 1-7 points
21.8%
NY By 8-14 points
10.8%
BOS By 1-7 points
27.2%
BOS By 8-14 points
20.0%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
105.98
NEW YORK
Boston
108.87
BOSTON
Simulated Score
New York
NEW YORK
Boston
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Celtics
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Celtics (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.9
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 214.9
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 9, 2026
BOS @ NY
106 - 112
Feb 8, 2026
NY @ BOS
111 - 89
Dec 2, 2025
NY @ BOS
117 - 123
Oct 24, 2025
BOS @ NY
95 - 105
May 16, 2025
BOS @ NY
81 - 119
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+25.3% more
Boston: 8.9
vs
New York: 7.1
Blocks (L5)
+24.5% more
Boston: 5.2
vs
New York: 4.2
Assists (L5)
+13.6% more
Boston: 26.7
vs
New York: 23.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.6%
Boston: 36.1%
vs
New York: 29.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NY Score
106.0
109
BOS Score
108.9
132
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.1 / 29.5
47.5 / 36.7
Assists
26.7 / 23.5
33.0 / 20.0
Blocks
5.2 / 4.2
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
44.1 / 44.3
50.5 / 55.1
Free Throw %
82.1 / 80.0
87.5 / 75.0
Rebounding
44.2 / 45.6
40.0 / 34.0
Steals
8.9 / 7.1
6.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
10.9 / 13.4
4.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY
Advantage
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
BOS
59-30-0
(66.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
BOS
Advantage
51-38-0
(57.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0%
Total +/-: -3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
NY
BOS
NY
ML
57%
61-46
61%
114-72
53%
47-41
56%
57-45
ATS
59%
61-43-3
67%
124-62
53%
47-41
56%
57-45
TTL
56%
60-47
72%
133-53
100%
88-0
100%
102-0