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CHICAGO

BULLSCHI

0-0  |  Road

111
FINAL
Wed, Oct 23 • 8:00 PM ET
Smoothie King Center
View Odds Details →

NEW ORLEANS

PELICANSNO

0-0  |  Home

123
AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
0%
📊
PELICANS
100%
BULLS --
PELICANS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
189.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.6
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.6 points (Chicago)
BullsCHI (-3.5) 0 PelicansNO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bulls Cover

64.1%

Pelicans Cover

35.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CHI -3.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)

CHI By 1-7 points

27.3%

CHI By 8-14 points

21.0%

NO By 1-7 points

20.7%

NO By 8-14 points

9.8%

AI Model Projected Score
96.4
CHICAGO
92.8
NEW ORLEANS
Simulated Score
CHICAGO
NEW ORLEANS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Bulls Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Bulls (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.6
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 189.2
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 31, 2025 NO @ CHI 118 - 134
Dec 14, 2025 NO @ CHI 114 - 104
Nov 24, 2025 CHI @ NO 130 - 143
Jan 14, 2025 NO @ CHI 119 - 113
Oct 23, 2024 CHI @ NO 111 - 123
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +24.3% more
Chicago: 29.9 vs New Orleans: 22.6
Steals (L5) +12.1% more
Chicago: 9.6 vs New Orleans: 8.5
Rebounding (L5) +11.1% more
Chicago: 51.5 vs New Orleans: 45.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +9.6%
Chicago: 36.0% vs New Orleans: 26.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHI Score 96.4 111
NO Score 92.8 123
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 26.4 / 36.0 37.8 / 29.4
Assists 22.6 / 29.9 29.0 / 26.0
Blocks 6.3 / 5.7 10.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 41.4 / 45.8 46.4 / 48.8
Free Throw % 80.4 / 74.6 90.5 / 68.0
Rebounding 45.8 / 51.5 42.0 / 47.0
Steals 8.5 / 9.6 15.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 17.0 / 15.7 12.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI Advantage
31-51-0 (37.8%)
Margin: -5.2 ATS +/-: -1.9
NO
26-56-0 (31.7%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI
39-43-0 (47.6%)
Margin: -5.2 ATS +/-: -1.9
NO Advantage
45-36-1 (55.6%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7% Total +/-: +0.5
NO
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NO
CHI
NO
CHI
ML
62% 98-61
56% 54-42
58% 48-35
57% 46-35
ATS
68% 107-51-1
65% 62-33-1
58% 48-35
57% 46-35
TTL
75% 119-40
58% 56-40
100% 83-0
100% 81-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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