Home / NBA Projections NBA / Grizzlies @ Jazz MEM @ UTAH

MEMPHIS

GRIZZLIESMEM

0-0  |  Road

126
FINAL
Wed, Oct 23 • 9:00 PM ET
Delta Center
View Odds Details →

UTAH

JAZZUTAH

0-0  |  Home

124
AI Model Win Probability
GRIZZLIES
0%
📊
JAZZ
100%
GRIZZLIES --
JAZZ --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
211.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.5
MEMPHIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.5 points (Memphis)
GrizzliesMEM (-3.5) 0 JazzUTAH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Grizzlies Cover

59.8%

Jazz Cover

40.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MEM -2.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MEM)

MEM By 1-7 points

27.1%

MEM By 8-14 points

19.3%

UTAH By 1-7 points

22.4%

UTAH By 8-14 points

11.4%

AI Model Projected Score
107.08
MEMPHIS
104.6
UTAH
Simulated Score
MEMPHIS
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Grizzlies Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Grizzlies (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -2.5
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 211.7
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 10, 2026 MEM @ UTAH 101 - 147
Feb 20, 2026 UTAH @ MEM 114 - 123
Dec 23, 2025 MEM @ UTAH 137 - 128
Dec 12, 2025 UTAH @ MEM 130 - 126
Mar 25, 2025 MEM @ UTAH 140 - 103
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +40.9% more
Memphis: 9.9 vs Utah: 5.9
Assists (L5) +26.9% more
Memphis: 28.4 vs Utah: 20.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.0%
Memphis: 36.3% vs Utah: 32.3%
Blocks (L5) +79.5% more
Utah: 8.2 vs Memphis: 4.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MEM Score 107.1 126
UTAH Score 104.6 124
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.3 / 36.3 38.5 / 37.8
Assists 20.8 / 28.4 21.0 / 28.0
Blocks 8.2 / 4.6 9.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 44.0 / 45.3 47.1 / 47.3
Free Throw % 78.3 / 76.4 75.6 / 71.9
Rebounding 44.4 / 47.9 49.0 / 41.0
Steals 5.9 / 9.9 7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 22.8 / 19.9 17.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MEM Advantage
25-57-0 (30.5%)
Margin: -6.0 ATS +/-: -0.6
UTAH
22-60-0 (26.8%)
Margin: -8.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MEM
37-45-0 (45.1%)
Margin: -6.0 ATS +/-: -0.6
UTAH Advantage
41-41-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -8.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
MEM
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6% Total +/-: +1.4
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2% Total +/-: +5.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
MEM
UTAH
MEM
ML
60% 96-63
57% 59-44
48% 40-43
50% 41-41
ATS
68% 108-51
63% 65-38
48% 40-43
50% 41-41
TTL
75% 119-39-1
70% 71-31-1
100% 83-0
100% 82-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Desmond Bane Returns to FedExForum as Grizzlies Host Magic in Pr…
actionnews5 1 day, 1 hour ago
Nuggets' Bench Sparks 117-106 Preseason Win Over Jazz, Led by Di…
si 1 day, 19 hours ago
Nuggets Secure First Preseason Win Over Jazz: Braun, Gordon Impr…
gazette 1 day, 19 hours ago
Zach Edey to Sit Out Grizzlies' Preseason Opener vs. Hawks, Team…
yahoo 3 days, 1 hour ago
Rangers' Hot Start Marred by Joe Veleno Injury Concern
si 3 days, 13 hours ago