GOLDEN STATE
WARRIORSGS
0-0 | Road
139
PORTLAND
TRAIL BLAZERSPOR
0-0 | Home
104
AI Model Win Probability
WARRIORS
0%
TRAIL BLAZERS
100%
WARRIORS
--
TRAIL BLAZERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
204.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.6
GOLDEN STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.6 points (Golden State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around GS -5.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GS)
GS By 1-7 points
27.0%
GS By 8-14 points
23.8%
POR By 1-7 points
17.5%
POR By 8-14 points
7.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Golden State
105.21
GOLDEN STATE
Portland
99.57
PORTLAND
Simulated Score
Golden State
GOLDEN STATE
Portland
PORTLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Warriors
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Warriors (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.6
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 204.8
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 13, 2026
POR @ GS
97 - 119
Dec 14, 2025
GS @ POR
131 - 136
Nov 21, 2025
POR @ GS
127 - 123
Oct 24, 2025
GS @ POR
119 - 139
Oct 14, 2025
GS @ POR
118 - 111
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+20.9% more
Golden State: 6.8
vs
Portland: 5.4
Assists (L5)
+19.3% more
Golden State: 32.2
vs
Portland: 26.0
Field Goal % (L5)
+9.4%
Golden State: 50.0%
vs
Portland: 40.6%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.7%
Golden State: 37.3%
vs
Portland: 29.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
GS Score
105.2
139
POR Score
99.6
104
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.6 / 37.3
23.5 / 41.7
Assists
26.0 / 32.2
21.0 / 38.0
Blocks
5.4 / 6.8
4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
40.6 / 50.0
39.1 / 51.6
Free Throw %
79.4 / 80.4
80.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
51.6 / 44.6
42.0 / 57.0
Steals
11.8 / 9.2
10.0 / 13.0
Turnovers
16.0 / 16.0
18.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GS
38-46-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -2.0
POR
Advantage
44-44-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GS
36-48-0
(42.9%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -2.0
POR
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
GS
49-35-0
O: 58.3% / U: 41.7%
Total +/-: +1.9
POR
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
POR
GS
POR
GS
ML
53%
56-49
55%
95-79
55%
49-40
58%
49-35
ATS
62%
65-39-1
58%
101-73
55%
49-40
58%
49-35
TTL
56%
58-46-1
77%
134-40
100%
89-0
100%
84-0
Contextual Game News
Cooper Flagg and Mavericks Face Media at NBA China Games in Macao
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Declares Himself NBA's Best Player, Shru…
Luka Doncic Embraces Lakers Legacy: 'It's an Honor, Not Pressure…
Boston Celtics' Young Wings Face Huge Opportunity After Jaylen B…