BOSTON
CELTICSBOS
1-0 | Road
122
WASHINGTON
WIZARDSWSH
0-0 | Home
102
AI Model Win Probability
CELTICS
0%
WIZARDS
100%
CELTICS
--
WIZARDS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
205.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.2
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.2 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BOS -8.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
BOS By 1-7 points
25.1%
BOS By 8-14 points
26.4%
WSH By 1-7 points
13.3%
WSH By 8-14 points
4.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
106.68
BOSTON
Washington
98.44
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
Boston
BOSTON
Washington
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Celtics
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Celtics (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.2
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 205.1
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 14, 2026
WSH @ BOS
100 - 111
Dec 4, 2025
BOS @ WSH
146 - 101
Nov 5, 2025
WSH @ BOS
107 - 136
Apr 6, 2025
WSH @ BOS
90 - 124
Dec 15, 2024
BOS @ WSH
112 - 98
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.4%
Boston: 83.9%
vs
Washington: 74.5%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.1%
Boston: 39.9%
vs
Washington: 37.8%
Turnovers (L5)
+119.2% more
Washington: 18.9
vs
Boston: 8.6
Blocks (L5)
+20.7% more
Washington: 5.4
vs
Boston: 4.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
106.7
122
WSH Score
98.4
102
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.8 / 39.9
19.4 / 37.8
Assists
27.1 / 28.8
27.0 / 21.0
Blocks
5.4 / 4.5
6.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
47.6 / 46.3
43.2 / 46.7
Free Throw %
74.5 / 83.9
72.2 / 77.8
Rebounding
40.2 / 42.8
40.0 / 49.0
Steals
7.4 / 8.0
9.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
18.9 / 8.6
15.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BOS
Advantage
59-30-0
(66.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
WSH
17-65-0
(20.7%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BOS
Advantage
51-38-0
(57.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
WSH
33-49-0
(40.2%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0%
Total +/-: -3.2
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7%
Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
BOS
WSH
BOS
ML
70%
112-49
57%
61-46
47%
39-44
53%
47-41
ATS
69%
111-49-1
59%
61-43-3
47%
39-44
53%
47-41
TTL
74%
119-41-1
56%
60-47
100%
83-0
100%
88-0
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