Home / NBA Projections NBA / Cavaliers @ Knicks CLE @ NY

CLEVELAND

CAVALIERSCLE

3-0  |  Road

110
FINAL
Mon, Oct 28 • 7:30 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

1-1  |  Home

104
AI Model Win Probability
CAVALIERS
100%
📊
KNICKS
0%
CAVALIERS --
KNICKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
213.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (New York)
CavaliersCLE (-3.5) 0 KnicksNY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cavaliers Cover

46.1%

Knicks Cover

53.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NY -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)

CLE By 1-7 points

24.3%

CLE By 8-14 points

13.7%

NY By 1-7 points

26.2%

NY By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
106.03
CLEVELAND
107.01
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
CLEVELAND
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Knicks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Knicks (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 213.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
May 25, 2026 NY @ CLE 130 - 93
May 23, 2026 NY @ CLE 121 - 108
May 21, 2026 CLE @ NY 93 - 109
May 19, 2026 CLE @ NY 104 - 115
Feb 24, 2026 NY @ CLE 94 - 109
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +7.6%
New York: 78.7% vs Cleveland: 71.1%
Steals (L5) +53.3% more
Cleveland: 11.3 vs New York: 5.3
Blocks (L5) +45.3% more
Cleveland: 7.1 vs New York: 3.9
Assists (L5) +23.4% more
Cleveland: 27.7 vs New York: 21.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CLE Score 106.0 110
NY Score 107.0 104
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.1 / 40.2 32.1 / 33.3
Assists 21.2 / 27.7 22.0 / 21.0
Blocks 3.9 / 7.1 3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 49.4 / 50.9 44.4 / 47.6
Free Throw % 78.7 / 71.1 83.3 / 83.3
Rebounding 42.1 / 43.3 43.0 / 41.0
Steals 5.3 / 11.3 8.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 12.6 / 14.9 16.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
60-40-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: -2.4
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
40-60-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: -2.4
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0% Total +/-: +0.9
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
CLE
NY
CLE
ML
61% 114-72
60% 69-46
56% 57-45
56% 55-44
ATS
67% 124-62
67% 75-37-3
56% 57-45
56% 55-44
TTL
72% 133-53
59% 68-47
100% 102-0
100% 99-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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