SACRAMENTO
KINGSSAC
1-2 | Road
113
UTAH
JAZZUTAH
0-3 | Home
96
AI Model Win Probability
KINGS
100%
JAZZ
0%
KINGS
--
JAZZ
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
206.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.1
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.1 points (Utah)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UTAH -1.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTAH)
SAC By 1-7 points
24.1%
SAC By 8-14 points
13.5%
UTAH By 1-7 points
26.3%
UTAH By 8-14 points
17.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Sacramento
102.82
SACRAMENTO
Utah
103.93
UTAH
Simulated Score
Sacramento
SACRAMENTO
Utah
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Jazz
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Jazz (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -1.1
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 206.8
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 15, 2026
UTAH @ SAC
111 - 116
Feb 11, 2026
SAC @ UTAH
93 - 121
Nov 28, 2025
SAC @ UTAH
119 - 128
Oct 24, 2025
UTAH @ SAC
104 - 105
Feb 26, 2025
SAC @ UTAH
118 - 101
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+54.5% more
Utah: 6.6
vs
Sacramento: 4.2
Turnovers (L5)
+27.0% more
Utah: 19.2
vs
Sacramento: 15.1
Rebounding (L5)
+19.4% more
Utah: 47.1
vs
Sacramento: 39.4
Steals (L5)
+30.6% more
Sacramento: 9.9
vs
Utah: 6.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SAC Score
102.8
113
UTAH Score
103.9
96
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.6 / 34.4
29.2 / 25.8
Assists
21.3 / 26.0
24.0 / 26.0
Blocks
6.6 / 4.2
4.0 / 9.0
Field Goal %
39.4 / 45.4
39.3 / 52.2
Free Throw %
78.2 / 84.5
85.7 / 64.3
Rebounding
47.1 / 39.4
42.0 / 49.0
Steals
6.9 / 9.9
7.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
19.2 / 15.1
17.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SAC
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
UTAH
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SAC
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
UTAH
Advantage
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
SAC
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +0.8
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
SAC
UTAH
SAC
ML
60%
96-63
55%
55-45
48%
40-43
61%
50-32
ATS
68%
108-51
54%
52-45-3
48%
40-43
61%
50-32
TTL
75%
119-39-1
58%
57-42-1
100%
83-0
100%
82-0
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