Home / NBA Projections NBA / Pelicans @ Warriors NO @ GS

NEW ORLEANS

PELICANSNO

2-1  |  Road

106
FINAL
Tue, Oct 29 • 10:00 PM ET
Chase Center
View Odds Details →

GOLDEN STATE

WARRIORSGS

2-1  |  Home

124
AI Model Win Probability
PELICANS
0%
📊
WARRIORS
100%
PELICANS --
WARRIORS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
204.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.6
NEW ORLEANS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.6 points (New Orleans)
PelicansNO (-3.5) 0 WarriorsGS (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Pelicans Cover

64.2%

Warriors Cover

35.8%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NO -3.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NO)

NO By 1-7 points

27.4%

NO By 8-14 points

21.1%

GS By 1-7 points

20.7%

GS By 8-14 points

9.8%

AI Model Projected Score
103.8
NEW ORLEANS
100.15
GOLDEN STATE
Simulated Score
NEW ORLEANS
GOLDEN STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Pelicans Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Pelicans (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.6
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 204.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 24, 2026 GS @ NO 109 - 113
Nov 29, 2025 NO @ GS 96 - 104
Nov 16, 2025 GS @ NO 124 - 106
Mar 28, 2025 GS @ NO 111 - 95
Nov 22, 2024 GS @ NO 112 - 108
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +19.1% more
New Orleans: 7.1 vs Golden State: 5.8
Free Throw % (L5) +3.3%
New Orleans: 78.7% vs Golden State: 75.4%
Assists (L5) +22.6% more
Golden State: 29.3 vs New Orleans: 23.9
Rebounding (L5) +20.9% more
Golden State: 50.7 vs New Orleans: 41.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NO Score 103.8 106
GS Score 100.2 124
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.0 / 31.2 45.7 / 40.9
Assists 29.3 / 23.9 34.0 / 23.0
Blocks 5.8 / 7.1 9.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 47.5 / 42.9 47.4 / 54.1
Free Throw % 75.4 / 78.7 84.6 / 70.8
Rebounding 50.7 / 41.9 34.0 / 44.0
Steals 11.3 / 10.4 15.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 17.8 / 15.4 8.0 / 24.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NO
26-56-0 (31.7%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: +0.3
GS Advantage
38-46-0 (45.2%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-: -2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NO Advantage
45-36-1 (55.6%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: +0.3
GS
36-48-0 (42.9%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-: -2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
NO
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.7
GS
49-35-0
O: 58.3% / U: 41.7% Total +/-: +1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GS
NO
GS
NO
ML
55% 95-79
62% 98-61
58% 49-35
58% 48-35
ATS
58% 101-73
68% 107-51-1
58% 49-35
58% 48-35
TTL
77% 134-40
75% 119-40
100% 84-0
100% 83-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
yahoo 1 hour, 25 minutes ago
Bill Self's Revamped Kansas Roster Built for Another National Ti…
si 7 hours, 5 minutes ago
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Declares Himself NBA's Best Player, Shru…
bleacherreport 7 hours, 13 minutes ago
Luka Doncic Embraces Lakers Legacy: 'It's an Honor, Not Pressure…
yahoo 7 hours, 16 minutes ago
Boston Celtics' Young Wings Face Huge Opportunity After Jaylen B…
yahoo 7 hours, 19 minutes ago