SAN ANTONIO
SPURSSA
1-2 | Road
93
OKLAHOMA CITY
THUNDEROKC
3-0 | Home
105
AI Model Win Probability
SPURS
100%
THUNDER
0%
SPURS
--
THUNDER
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
205.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.5
OKLAHOMA CITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.5 points (Oklahoma City)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around OKC -13.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OKC)
SA By 1-7 points
6.3%
SA By 8-14 points
1.5%
OKC By 1-7 points
17.7%
OKC By 8-14 points
26.6%
AI Model Projected Score
San Antonio
95.85
SAN ANTONIO
Oklahoma City
109.36
OKLAHOMA CITY
Simulated Score
San Antonio
SAN ANTONIO
Oklahoma City
OKLAHOMA CITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Thunder
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Thunder (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.5
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 205.2
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 30, 2026
SA @ OKC
111 - 103
May 28, 2026
OKC @ SA
91 - 118
May 26, 2026
SA @ OKC
114 - 127
May 24, 2026
OKC @ SA
82 - 103
May 22, 2026
OKC @ SA
123 - 108
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+82.9% more
Oklahoma City: 12.3
vs
San Antonio: 6.7
Blocks (L5)
+70.3% more
Oklahoma City: 9.0
vs
San Antonio: 5.3
Turnovers (L5)
+33.1% more
San Antonio: 16.9
vs
Oklahoma City: 11.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.3%
San Antonio: 78.4%
vs
Oklahoma City: 73.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SA Score
95.9
93
OKC Score
109.4
105
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.3 / 33.3
41.5 / 33.3
Assists
24.9 / 26.0
28.0 / 22.0
Blocks
9.0 / 5.3
6.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
45.7 / 46.1
46.1 / 41.2
Free Throw %
73.1 / 78.4
75.0 / 84.6
Rebounding
47.8 / 47.8
39.0 / 52.0
Steals
12.3 / 6.7
18.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
11.3 / 16.9
14.0 / 22.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SA
75-31-0
(70.8%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
OKC
Advantage
75-22-0
(77.3%)
Margin: 10.5
ATS +/-: +0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SA
Advantage
60-44-2
(57.7%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
OKC
47-50-0
(48.4%)
Margin: 10.5
ATS +/-: +0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: -1.1
OKC
54-43-0
O: 55.7% / U: 44.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OKC
SA
OKC
SA
ML
70%
80-34
60%
111-73
48%
46-49
58%
61-44
ATS
73%
83-30-1
58%
107-76-1
48%
46-49
58%
61-44
TTL
67%
76-38
74%
134-47-3
100%
95-0
100%
105-0
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