AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
0%
PISTONS
100%
KNICKS
--
PISTONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
211.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.3
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.3 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NY -3.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)
NY By 1-7 points
27.3%
NY By 8-14 points
20.5%
DET By 1-7 points
21.2%
DET By 8-14 points
10.3%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
107.3
NEW YORK
Detroit
104.03
DETROIT
Simulated Score
New York
NEW YORK
Detroit
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Knicks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Knicks (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.3
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 211.3
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 19, 2026
DET @ NY
126 - 111
Feb 6, 2026
NY @ DET
80 - 118
Jan 5, 2026
NY @ DET
90 - 121
May 1, 2025
NY @ DET
116 - 113
Apr 29, 2025
DET @ NY
106 - 103
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+20.6% more
New York: 6.8
vs
Detroit: 5.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.7%
New York: 83.5%
vs
Detroit: 79.8%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.4%
New York: 48.1%
vs
Detroit: 44.7%
Blocks (L5)
+45.2% more
Detroit: 5.4
vs
New York: 3.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NY Score
107.3
128
DET Score
104.0
98
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.7 / 38.2
32.4 / 47.4
Assists
22.6 / 24.3
23.0 / 31.0
Blocks
5.4 / 3.7
9.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
44.7 / 48.1
50.6 / 51.5
Free Throw %
79.8 / 83.5
71.4 / 60.0
Rebounding
46.8 / 42.3
38.0 / 45.0
Steals
5.4 / 6.8
6.0 / 16.0
Turnovers
17.1 / 12.8
22.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY
Advantage
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
DET
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
NY
DET
NY
ML
55%
64-53
61%
114-72
49%
47-49
56%
57-45
ATS
53%
60-54-3
67%
124-62
49%
47-49
56%
57-45
TTL
60%
70-46-1
72%
133-53
100%
96-0
100%
102-0