Home / NBA Projections NBA / Pacers @ Pelicans IND @ NO

INDIANA

PACERSIND

2-3  |  Road

118
FINAL
Fri, Nov 1 • 8:00 PM ET
Smoothie King Center
View Odds Details →

NEW ORLEANS

PELICANSNO

2-3  |  Home

125
AI Model Win Probability
PACERS
100%
📊
PELICANS
0%
PACERS --
PELICANS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
204.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.6
NEW ORLEANS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.6 points (New Orleans)
PacersIND (-3.5) 0 PelicansNO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Pacers Cover

25.5%

Pelicans Cover

74.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NO -6.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NO)

IND By 1-7 points

16.0%

IND By 8-14 points

6.2%

NO By 1-7 points

26.5%

NO By 8-14 points

24.9%

AI Model Projected Score
98.83
INDIANA
105.42
NEW ORLEANS
Simulated Score
INDIANA
NEW ORLEANS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Pelicans Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Pelicans (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.6
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 204.3
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 16, 2026 NO @ IND 119 - 127
Dec 20, 2025 IND @ NO 109 - 128
Dec 15, 2024 NO @ IND 104 - 119
Nov 25, 2024 NO @ IND 110 - 114
Nov 1, 2024 IND @ NO 118 - 125
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +32.1% more
New Orleans: 6.5 vs Indiana: 4.9
Assists (L5) +19.1% more
Indiana: 29.3 vs New Orleans: 23.7
Steals (L5) +11.6% more
Indiana: 8.9 vs New Orleans: 7.8
Field Goal % (L5) +4.7%
Indiana: 48.1% vs New Orleans: 43.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
IND Score 98.8 118
NO Score 105.4 125
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.2 / 36.7 38.7 / 42.1
Assists 23.7 / 29.3 28.0 / 35.0
Blocks 6.5 / 4.9 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 43.3 / 48.1 48.5 / 51.7
Free Throw % 70.7 / 74.5 78.9 / 76.9
Rebounding 44.7 / 45.9 46.0 / 39.0
Steals 7.8 / 8.9 8.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 17.2 / 16.9 8.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IND
19-63-0 (23.2%)
Margin: -8.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
NO Advantage
26-56-0 (31.7%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IND
40-42-0 (48.8%)
Margin: -8.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
NO Advantage
45-36-1 (55.6%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
IND
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.8
NO
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NO
IND
NO
IND
ML
62% 98-61
48% 47-50
58% 48-35
54% 45-38
ATS
68% 107-51-1
59% 57-40
58% 48-35
54% 45-38
TTL
75% 119-40
54% 52-45
100% 83-0
100% 83-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
yahoo 50 minutes ago
Bill Self's Revamped Kansas Roster Built for Another National Ti…
si 6 hours, 30 minutes ago
Luka Doncic Embraces Lakers Legacy: 'It's an Honor, Not Pressure…
yahoo 6 hours, 41 minutes ago
Phillies' 2027 Forecast: Four Farmhands Ready to Step Up
si 12 hours, 57 minutes ago
Kentucky's Pro Day Showcases Depth, Cutting Edge, and Standout P…
messenger_inquirer 18 hours, 57 minutes ago