Home / NBA Projections NBA / Jazz @ Bulls UTAH @ CHI

UTAH

JAZZUTAH

0-6  |  Road

135
FINAL
Mon, Nov 4 • 8:30 PM ET
United Center
View Odds Details →

CHICAGO

BULLSCHI

3-3  |  Home

126
AI Model Win Probability
JAZZ
100%
📊
BULLS
0%
JAZZ --
BULLS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
217.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.7
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.7 points (Chicago)
JazzUTAH (-3.5) 0 BullsCHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Jazz Cover

19.2%

Bulls Cover

80.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CHI -8.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)

UTAH By 1-7 points

12.6%

UTAH By 8-14 points

4.2%

CHI By 1-7 points

24.6%

CHI By 8-14 points

26.7%

AI Model Projected Score
104.62
UTAH
113.32
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
UTAH
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Bulls Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Bulls (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -8.7
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 217.9
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 14, 2026 UTAH @ CHI 126 - 128
Nov 16, 2025 CHI @ UTAH 147 - 150
Mar 17, 2025 CHI @ UTAH 111 - 97
Nov 4, 2024 UTAH @ CHI 135 - 126
Mar 6, 2024 CHI @ UTAH 119 - 117
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +19.8% more
Chicago: 26.5 vs Utah: 22.1
Rebounding (L5) +10.6% more
Chicago: 49.7 vs Utah: 45.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +10.3%
Chicago: 38.5% vs Utah: 28.3%
Field Goal % (L5) +3.3%
Chicago: 43.4% vs Utah: 40.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UTAH Score 104.6 135
CHI Score 113.3 126
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.5 / 28.3 37.8 / 44.4
Assists 26.5 / 22.1 36.0 / 35.0
Blocks 3.4 / 6.5 7.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 43.4 / 40.0 47.4 / 53.9
Free Throw % 73.5 / 83.7 88.0 / 76.7
Rebounding 49.7 / 45.0 36.0 / 49.0
Steals 6.0 / 6.7 7.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 15.5 / 22.0 9.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTAH
22-60-0 (26.8%)
Margin: -8.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
CHI Advantage
31-51-0 (37.8%)
Margin: -5.2 ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTAH Advantage
41-41-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -8.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
CHI
39-43-0 (47.6%)
Margin: -5.2 ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2% Total +/-: +5.7
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7% Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
UTAH
CHI
UTAH
ML
56% 54-42
60% 96-63
57% 46-35
48% 40-43
ATS
65% 62-33-1
68% 108-51
57% 46-35
48% 40-43
TTL
58% 56-40
75% 119-39-1
100% 81-0
100% 83-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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