Home / NBA Projections NBA / Knicks @ Rockets NY @ HOU

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

3-2  |  Road

97
FINAL
Mon, Nov 4 • 8:45 PM ET
Toyota Center
View Odds Details →

HOUSTON

ROCKETSHOU

3-3  |  Home

109
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
0%
📊
ROCKETS
100%
KNICKS --
ROCKETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
219.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.9
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.9 points (New York)
KnicksNY (-3.5) 0 RocketsHOU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Knicks Cover

57.7%

Rockets Cover

42.3%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NY -1.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)

NY By 1-7 points

26.8%

NY By 8-14 points

18.5%

HOU By 1-7 points

23.1%

HOU By 8-14 points

12.2%

AI Model Projected Score
110.93
NEW YORK
108.99
HOUSTON
Simulated Score
NEW YORK
HOUSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Knicks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Knicks (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -1.9
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 219.9
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 31, 2026 NY @ HOU 94 - 111
Feb 21, 2026 HOU @ NY 106 - 108
Feb 3, 2025 HOU @ NY 118 - 124
Nov 4, 2024 NY @ HOU 97 - 109
Feb 12, 2024 NY @ HOU 103 - 105
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +21.1% more
New York: 9.9 vs Houston: 7.8
Assists (L5) +12.7% more
New York: 26.6 vs Houston: 23.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +8.9%
New York: 41.2% vs Houston: 32.3%
Field Goal % (L5) +7.5%
New York: 49.2% vs Houston: 41.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NY Score 110.9 97
HOU Score 109.0 109
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.3 / 41.2 24.2 / 39.3
Assists 23.2 / 26.6 21.0 / 20.0
Blocks 4.4 / 3.5 6.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 41.8 / 49.2 48.9 / 38.6
Free Throw % 76.3 / 75.7 83.3 / 85.7
Rebounding 48.0 / 43.2 50.0 / 39.0
Steals 7.8 / 9.9 4.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 11.8 / 11.9 11.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
HOU
54-34-0 (61.4%)
Margin: 4.7 ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
HOU
38-50-0 (43.2%)
Margin: 4.7 ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
HOU
41-46-1
O: 47.1% / U: 52.9% Total +/-: -0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOU
NY
HOU
NY
ML
61% 69-44
61% 114-72
59% 51-35
56% 57-45
ATS
62% 70-43
67% 124-62
59% 51-35
56% 57-45
TTL
51% 58-55
72% 133-53
100% 86-0
100% 102-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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