SAN ANTONIO
SPURSSA
3-3 | Road
104
LA
CLIPPERSLAC
2-4 | Home
113
AI Model Win Probability
SPURS
100%
CLIPPERS
0%
SPURS
--
CLIPPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
212.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.7
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.7 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAC -8.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
SA By 1-7 points
12.6%
SA By 8-14 points
4.2%
LAC By 1-7 points
24.6%
LAC By 8-14 points
26.7%
AI Model Projected Score
San Antonio
101.89
SAN ANTONIO
LA
110.62
LA
Simulated Score
San Antonio
SAN ANTONIO
LA
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Clippers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Clippers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.7
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 212.5
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 2, 2026
SA @ LAC
118 - 99
Mar 16, 2026
SA @ LAC
119 - 115
Mar 6, 2026
LAC @ SA
112 - 116
Apr 8, 2025
SA @ LAC
117 - 122
Jan 29, 2025
LAC @ SA
128 - 116
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+20.1% more
LA: 18.1
vs
San Antonio: 15.1
Steals (L5)
+9.4% more
LA: 9.5
vs
San Antonio: 8.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+1.7%
LA: 33.0%
vs
San Antonio: 31.3%
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.9%
San Antonio: 80.6%
vs
LA: 70.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SA Score
101.9
104
LAC Score
110.6
113
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.0 / 31.3
51.4 / 26.8
Assists
25.5 / 27.2
25.0 / 22.0
Blocks
5.9 / 5.7
7.0 / 10.0
Field Goal %
45.2 / 46.2
45.6 / 44.2
Free Throw %
70.7 / 80.6
70.6 / 89.5
Rebounding
48.3 / 45.9
44.0 / 45.0
Steals
9.5 / 8.7
6.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
18.1 / 15.1
11.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SA
Advantage
75-31-0
(70.8%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SA
Advantage
60-44-2
(57.7%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: -1.1
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
SA
LAC
SA
ML
60%
59-40
60%
111-73
55%
45-37
58%
61-44
ATS
66%
65-33-1
58%
107-76-1
55%
45-37
58%
61-44
TTL
59%
58-40-1
74%
134-47-3
100%
82-0
100%
105-0
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